Friday 3:12 AM

From this position I think we have to play for the 7,8 or 9 cut to give us 12 or 10- that will get us to at least 95 for our 3 counts-the dealer isn’t too close or too far from 4th street for the pair of kings discard to really hurt us-the KKK8 hold only has 5 cuts for a 12( the 4 fives and the lone remaining K) -we have to play the percentages here

Friday 3:18 AM

What Rob said..

Friday 3:20 AM

Here I was thinking I'd be clever tossing KK. I need a 12 hand. A 10 hand will do. Lead the 8

Friday 3:22 AM

Cards that significantly help 7-8-9 include Thirteen Cuts (6666, 777, 888, 999), and cards that significantly help K-K-K include just Five Cuts (5555, K), so we might be inclined to hold (7 8 9 K) and not be inclined to hold (7 K K K), and yet (7 8 9 K) only starts with Five Points instead of Six Points. 🍬

But we could also 'hedge' and hold (7 8 K K) or (8 K K K). Some people may fear Toss (7 9), but it actually has a Crib Value that is over a HALF-Point SAFER than Toss (K K). 🍧

Nothing we retain can exceed a Dozen Points after any cut, so there is no "magical" Cut Card that gets us excited here. The (8 K K K) is a way to begin with Six Points, and have a fairly safe discard, while also perhaps being able to avoid trouble during the pegging. 🍉

Let's Toss (7 9) today, and be unique. After the 9 Card Cut, we could be punished in the Crib, but who knows: maybe the Dealer placed two 5 Cards in the Crib! 🥧

Wordle 1,455 4/6

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Friday 3:28 AM

Going with my first thoughts with today's hand.

Friday 3:36 AM

7-9 vs KK, imo. Feel good being on the same page with JQT for once.

Wordle 1,455 5/6

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Guess 4 was bad, need to turn Hard mode back on.

Friday 3:43 AM

play thy position going for ten and twelve hands here. dec

Friday 4:18 AM

Agree with those above holding it this way. More cuts to get us where we need to be on 4th street as dealer in next round. Better pegging flexibility as well.

Friday 4:54 AM

Instructive for position play. 7-9, 9-K, K-K? We want to deal from 96 next hand, but can we afford to gamble and pitch the pair to do that? 7-9 is safer, but leaves a weak hand. 9-K is too defensive, because it will leave us short. After the great cut, we should be back in position. Lead the standard 8 from this holding. [Remember that the random cut card shown should not suggest whether we made the "right" pitch or the "wrong" pitch from our hand. But, use it for tactics and the lead.]

Friday 4:57 AM

Decided toss 7-9. Doesn’t leave max hand points, but with one 8 being out of deck, may not be giving anything free to crib.

Friday 5:03 AM

I need to decide if I will play O or D. As to N/der tossing pairs, Ks and Qs are only two pairs that average under six crib points. The only top ten most frequent dealer discards that can do significant damage to Ks is 2/3 & Q/K. I have three Ks. Holding 8-K-K-K has only 12 productive cuts total. Holding 7-8-9-K has cuts of 5-6-7-8-9…and double run potential. Discards of 7-9 & Ks both average 5 points. I want to deal from 96+. Play O.

Friday 5:41 AM

K9 also caught my eye, but I'll keep six points. 7-9 with an 8 out of circulation may not be disastrous, but that cut has me concerned.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
13th Jun 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 101
🌋SP: 1820
📅Streak: 20
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/517/3333658/1

Wordle 1,455 3/6

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Fortunate with guess #1, only a few options remaining.

Friday 8:00 AM

While the 3 of a kind might be tempting, this should prove to be the better hold for pegging and winning.

Friday 8:19 AM

I feel like this is a good time to see if I can get into position to win this game. Holding the Ks felt like hail mary and there is no need at this time for that.

Friday 10:09 AM

I'm with the hip crowd again today

Friday 12:25 PM

At 83-81* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___W3 %____W4 %
8-K-K-K____6.91+1.00+(-4.84)=3.07____27.3____21.2
7-8-9-K____6.80+1.24+(-5.49)=2.55____31.8____21.3
7-8-K-K____5.41+1.02+(-3.91)=2.52____24.1____20.2

Offense______L3 %____L4 %
8-K-K-K_______48.8____64.0
7-8-9-K_______53.9____63.1
7-8-K-K_______45.3____65.4

8-K-K-K is best for expected averages by 0.52pt. However, 7-8-9-K is considerably best for Win %s and although it is worst for Loss %s I'll still select a K-K to discard.

After the 9 cut I'll lead the 7 and play Offense:

Lead____________Our Pegging Points
7______________________1.26
9______________________1.12
K______________________1.12
8______________________1.10