Yesterday's results
33% 33% | |||||
28% 28% | |||||
10% 10% | |||||
5% 5% | |||||
4% 4% | |||||
4% 4% | |||||
3% 3% | |||||
3% 3% | |||||
2% 2% | |||||
2% 2% | |||||
1% 1% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
| Total votes: 275 | |||||
| Hawthorn | Do we keep the pairs for safe pegging and risk missing out by a point, or do we keep sufficient points to go out but risk keeping the dangerous 5? |
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Joined: May 2025 (106 votes) Friday 3:50 AM
This is dealers game. Accept it and surrender. guideontheside says: You never know - I once pegged 9 to my opponent's none, to win. HaydenSr says: Same here. With nondealer at 120, i pegged 8 and won the game. |
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Joined: May 2021 (447 votes) Friday 3:53 AM
Looking forward to learning something today. I'll lead the 4 here and take the 15 if the 8 is played, otherwise 4 reply to every response. tevdodd says: Cribbage Pro 121 to 115 ... Gonna be a WIDE variety today with big spread swings and only 3x 100 for my scenarios today. tevdodd says: Meant big pegging swings with 4 pair royals in my game. Tall Troy says: I had no 4 pair royals in my game....but maybe because I was looking out for it. Had one hand with four T's. |
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Joined: March 2016 (2358 votes) Friday 3:55 AM
I prefer to keep the safer pairs. end games are challenging for me. |
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Joined: February 2009 (1796 votes) Friday 4:42 AM
Very interesting puzzle today-do we keep the 33 or 44? Slightly prefer the 33- we can possibly elicit a 9 response to get the 15 and put the dealer in a very awkward position for his 2nd play |
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Joined: April 2008 (7068 votes) Friday 5:04 AM
The odds on lead a three. Our third play might determine. dec |
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Joined: December 2023 (412 votes) Friday 6:08 AM
Quite the predicament! I wanted an out card so I went this way. Lead the 3.
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 21st Nov 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 103 🌋SP: 1730 📅Streak: 10 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/678/8363472/1 |
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Joined: August 2024 (226 votes) Friday 6:09 AM
I am pretty far off the beaten path today, Ill be curious to read others ideas. I am thinking defensive pegging and pray to hold them to their guaranteed 1. Keeping the J to break up potential low card runs. Probably would lead the 3. Tall Troy says: I had the same thought by holding my J as well. fentesk says: I also wonder about the J as an out vs keeping the overall count low to avoid multiple points for Go. I don't have a good feel which is more important today. |
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Joined: December 2023 (412 votes) Friday 6:10 AM
I meant to throw 3-4 and keep the J for my out. Oops! 😬 |
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Joined: August 2023 (287 votes) Friday 6:17 AM
Stopping dealer from pegging 2 with one likely from last card is a tough ask. At least a J wasn’t cut to end all hope. |
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Joined: June 2025 (148 votes) Friday 6:25 AM
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Joined: February 2009 (1724 votes) Friday 7:28 AM
Was tempted to hold 3-3-4-4. Went this way. I’m thinking dealer will likely keep all small peggers so my J may be relatively “safe” and allow me to get out of trouble. Like the 3 lead. Worried about the 5 so will look to dump it at the first “safe” opportunity. |
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Joined: January 2023 (1025 votes) Friday 7:31 AM
Thanks for all your comments so far. Looking at this again, I think we only need to keep four points in hand because we're going to have to score either a go or last card to prevent the dealer winning with those two points alone (unless the count improbably fails to reach 31). So I'm keeping the safe-looking pair. I think I'm right in saying that this keep guarantees a win against a dealer unwise (or unlucky) enough to hold 5-X-X-X or X-X-X-X. dph says: Your thinking regarding keeping only 4 points matches my own. |
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Joined: March 2008 (6314 votes) Friday 7:56 AM
If the dealer has a 3, I'm toast. Leading the 3 and playing the other 3 on the next play. Holding the dealer to 1 will be difficult. This might be the only hand immune to holding 4 face cards to get 2 points. |
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Joined: June 2013 (4488 votes) Friday 9:12 AM
They'll be less able to pair a 3 or 4 during the pegging since there aren't many still in circulation. 4-4-3 eleven is possible, but they probably won't have kept the cards to make it work. Lead the 4h and cross my fingers.
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 21st Nov 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 101 🌋SP: 1820 📅Streak: 158 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/678/3333658/1 I messed up on hand two. I chose Q-4 of spades when A-4 of spades was obviously the better choice. No excuse for not seeing it. |
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Joined: July 2017 (821 votes) Friday 9:26 AM
I want an "out card" so the Jake stays. |
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Joined: May 2024 (579 votes) Friday 10:10 AM
I only need five points in my hand to go out on the first count (assuming dealing can be held to only one peg). This hold gives me the necessary five points and also a little defensive ability (by holding the J). Lead the 4. |
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Joined: August 2025 (98 votes) Friday 12:20 PM
Holding 3-4-4 makes a three card 11 and this hand’s best shot at the “go”. Leading 4 and crossing fingers.
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 21st Nov 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 111 🌋SP: 1560 📅Streak: 340 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/678/7389935/1 |
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Joined: January 2025 (280 votes) Friday 1:26 PM
I agree with the folks that said we need to only hold 4 points here. So I don't need the run.
I also agree that dealer is gonna hold small cards, so I need an out to not get hit with a run if I hold combos of 345 only. So the jack stays (and helps ensure there is more than one go or nibs to get me the extra point I need) So, I tossed the pair of 3 with a planned 4 lead. Hoping for a 6 reply to win outright but not gonna get it. Holding the 5 is dangerous but it's dangerous for the dealer, too. |