Yesterday's results

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
33*-30  ?
25%
25%
21%
21%
13%
13%
13%
13%
10%
10%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 295
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (5961 votes)

Wednesday 4:19 AM
A4 looks like the best choice this morning
JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4307 votes)

Wednesday 4:37 AM
Toss (5 9) is the standard discard. Toss (5 K) and Toss (9 J) are also interesting ideas, with Toss (A 4) also in the mix. All of these allow a Hand of Ten Points, except Toss (5 K), which limits our Hand to just Eight Points. 🎱

Let's defend with Toss (5 9) today. After the Ten "Th" Card Cut, we now have Six Points in our Hand, with prospects for a good Crib. 💐
JQT says: Cards that 'add up' to Five, as well as a single 5 Card alongside any other card, are each helpful discards in our Crib, but of all such discards, A-4 is the weakest. Meanwhile, the A-4 duo are often nearly-as-good as Pegging Cards. 🌲
TBK

Joined: December 2023 (87 votes)

Wednesday 5:02 AM
Why would you not want to throw A4 in your crib all day long at this point of the game?
Eolus619 says: Morning TBK.I do not recall you commenting before …welcome…Your discard choice is fine by me. An answer to your question for you to consider is…with both A-4 & 5-9 having close hand/ crib average point outcomes ..at this board position, which four cards would you rather defend with in pegging. We will see what the Hall of Famer ( and his convoluted cribbage mind!) says later..all the best ..encourage you to keep commenting.
Eolus619 says: one other aspect…again no argument with your A-4..but you should ask yourself why you decided to give up a magic “11” .. A-4-J-K. If you like your answer..so it goes !
Inushtuk1 says: HI TBK. Not only have you given up a Magic 11; but that 5 cannot be trapped if it's in our Crib. That's my take on it anyway.
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2729 votes)

Wednesday 5:46 AM
A4 or 59? One of the more prominent contributors on this site would say A4 has already found 2 friends; while 59 is a little more versatile in the crib. Just be careful with that lone ace.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (220 votes)

Wednesday 6:11 AM
I saw this as my best option, but I see there are other good options. Good puzzle.
Assman says: With the T starter we now have 9 points in our hand and a decent start for the crib. Pegging could be dicey though.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (6609 votes)

Wednesday 6:33 AM
If only that Ace was another diamond this would b easy . For the tiebreaker 5-9 just a tad more useful in crib. Defensive eleven that lead is important. dec
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4144 votes)

Wednesday 6:43 AM
I'd pick 5-9 in a game, but I'd like to try 9-J here.
K-A eleven and K-5-A sixteen for pegging.
mfetchCT425

Joined: February 2009 (1505 votes)

Wednesday 7:15 AM
Like keeping the gap cards in hand and the 5 as well for some pegging punch. 5-9 with some negative delta with one ace already out of circulation. A-4 and 5-9 right next to each other in expected average crib values.
glmccuskey

Joined: April 2011 (4314 votes)

Wednesday 7:59 AM
MarktheShark

Joined: January 2024 (288 votes)

Wednesday 8:17 AM
IIRC, A-4-5-?-X-X is one of Ras's lesson hands (that ? card might matter). A-4, 5-?, 5-X are all very close in theory but not in practice. For A-4-5-9-J-K, I used to pitch 9-J because I thought 5-9 was too far apart. Given the choice between A-4 and 5-?, experience tells me to pitch 5-?. Will wait for Ras's discussion.
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (489 votes)

Wednesday 8:24 AM
Keep the "Gapper's" and toss the automatic 2 points, A,4, to the crib. I might be able to even trap with this hand.
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1677 votes)

Wednesday 1:21 PM
Pone is only short by 4 holes. Defense means playing it this way to rid myself of the 5. On Offense or Optimal I'd play A-4-5-K(9-J). This configuration has the Magic Eleven and Sweet Sixteen.
Inushtuk1 says: Defense to the lead.
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5518 votes)

Wednesday 1:49 PM
At 33*-30 playing a SAFE strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Pone's
Defense___Hand_Pegs____Crib_Total___W6 %____W7 %
A-4-J-K____6.41+(-1.96)+5.28=9.73____11.6____36.4
5-9-J-K____6.46+(-2.07)+5.23=9.62____12.1____35.9
A-4-9-J____4.63+(-1.96)+6.50=9.17____10.9____34.5
A-4-9-K____4.13+(-1.89)+6.82=9.06____10.1____32.9
A-4-5-K____7.09+(-1.91)+3.88=9.06____11.6____34.5

Defense______L6 %____L7 %
A-4-J-K_______10.1____29.3
5-9-J-K_______11.1____30.8
A-4-9-J_______10.8____30.8
A-4-9-K_______11.1____31.6
A-4-5-K_______11.5____30.8

A-4-J-K is best for expected averages by 0.11pt. and although it is level with 5-9-J-K for Win %s it is slightly lowest for Loss %s so I'll select the 5-9 to discard.

After the 10 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
fentesk

Joined: January 2021 (1422 votes)

Wednesday 2:41 PM
I feel more comfortable pegging with the A-4 than 5-9 which was the decider for me today. As my pegging game needs work, I'm happy to learn if I'm missing something on the pegging here .
Djgoat

Joined: December 2023 (110 votes)

Wednesday 5:36 PM
I need to get my eyes checked. I thought I was keeping a flush! hahahahaha
Assman says: LOL! I've made that mistake before too. These suits could be more distinguishable.
LoneStarPegger

Joined: January 2008 (844 votes)

Wednesday 6:02 PM
What Gary said...