Today's results so far
82% 82% | |||||
14% 14% | |||||
1% 1% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
Total votes: 275 |
JQT | If Pone Leads a Jack: What do we play? |
Joined: March 2008 (6187 votes) Friday 3:02 AM
Bet the farm for a cut. |
Joined: March 2016 (2257 votes) Friday 3:06 AM
Love the 456 run. |
Joined: January 2024 (520 votes) Friday 3:10 AM
I want to peg defensively with Pone only 11 holes out, but I do not have the cards to do that. So, I might as well keep max points and hope Pone has a poor hand. With this cut card almost guaranteeing I will go out this hand, I will play the defensive 6 on an X card lead ... but, if Pone next plays a 4 or 5, I could be in trouble. |
Joined: May 2021 (296 votes) Friday 3:35 AM
Similar puzzle to yesterday, but with a better hand to start. Today I have no issue if someone wants to go full spread 3-4-5-6 as it starts with a guaranteed 11(8 hand, 2 crib, last card), although I truly question the degree to which it is a better defensive pegger (Or if it is at all).
I feel good about keeping the larger pair. As far as the J lead... It's an excellent question, normally I'd say lay the 6 without a 2nd thought, but today I think we lay the 5. If they pair it, we trip the 5. No shame in losing on a pair royal that would've put them out anyways on the count. The trouble with the 5 is a 4 or 3 reply that is otherwise muted with the 6 play. That said, if the 6 is paired, we've trapped ourselves. Daily Cribbage Scrimmage *Spoiler* Score: 121 to 112 Some interesting discards today (Or maybe just interesting because I guessed wrong on coin flips) Discards: 1. J-K 2. 2-7 12*-23 3. A-A 4. 4-5 44*-46 5. 3-T 67-60* 6. 4-9 75*-81 7. 4-Q 8. 5-J Wordle 1,490 5/6* β¬β¬β¬π¨β¬ π©β¬β¬β¬π© π©π©β¬β¬π© π©π©π©β¬π© π©π©π©π©π© fentesk says: On the plus side, you picked right on hand 4. We went into that at the same score and I chose 9-9 and ended the hand at 63-69* (opponent also had a middle hand and won the pegging 5-9.) |
Joined: April 2008 (6873 votes) Friday 3:59 AM
I would respond with a six. I would have to be quite aware of the spread points from a smaller group to respond with a five. dec |
Joined: June 2013 (4361 votes) Friday 5:12 AM
I'm interested to see how this arrangement might play out.
** spoilers ahead ** 1. 0-0, J-K 2. *12-23, 2-10? 3. 25-35, A-A 4. *49-46, 9-9 5. 68-69*, A-10 6. *81-87, 4-9 7. 95-96, 6-Q? 8. *99-105, 5-J Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 18th Jul 2025 πScore: 121 to 114 πSP: 1495 π Streak: 32 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/552/3333658/1 Wordle 1,490 5/6 β¬π©β¬β¬β¬ β¬π©β¬π¨β¬ β¬π©π¨β¬π© π©π©β¬β¬π© π©π©π©π©π© Eolus619 says: James500β¦..I am 99% sure this is the most difficult wordle word i have yet encountered james500 says: Hi Bruce, hope you're well. I watch the occasional David Attenborough programme, so was vaguely aware of it. It is fairly niche though, I agree. |
Joined: August 2023 (169 votes) Friday 5:28 AM
4556- 12 points in hand pair for 2 in crib sounds good to me |
Joined: December 2023 (294 votes) Friday 5:31 AM
Easy. Hold for a 24-hand and put a pair in the crib? No brainer for me!
Cribbage Pro Scrimage18 July Djgoat says: 121-116
SP 1445
Streak 203 |
Joined: October 2008 (4532 votes) Friday 5:34 AM
I forget if this was supposed to have two 6 Cards or a FLUSH, so I'm sorry it's a poor puzzle today. Sill, we have nearly 20% vote differently. π
Eolus619 says: Johnβ¦what cards would you have put in the flush ? ryman554 says: Sometimes it's good to have puzzles like this, lest we train ourselves to overthink everything.
Sometimes it is that simple. And if we train our brain to look for the non-obvious solution because it's a puzzle, we may overthink in real play.
Eolus619 says: btw John..a friendly reminder ..10 total points for n/der is an average.soooo..that means scores can be above and BELOW that number ..it ainβt over til itβs over |
Joined: July 2017 (698 votes) Friday 6:20 AM
Holding the 4,5,5,6 is tempting but the pone could easily track it and then trap us. This hold however, allows us to narrowly escape the clutches of a PRO intent on trapping us. I will try my level best to stay away from any pegging opportunities unless they are end-of-play and safe. |
Joined: January 2025 (171 votes) Friday 6:25 AM
Like yesterday, I don't rate my chances if it goes past this hand. Pone on average gets 10, next hand they get 1 before the show. So even though I count 3 hands to their 1, realistically it's 2 (or 0!) hands to their 1 so lets make this one count.
As Mike said above, there's not much defense we can play to better odds of seeing 3 hands, so lets go for max points and the win. ryman554 says: As for the pegging here, it's interesting. I count 16 in my hand and 2 in the crib. Crib is not likely to grow much more, so I'm at 117 and need to acquire 4 in the pegging round. 3 if you count dealers last card. We can't be overly aggressive here lest we feed pone points to win, but I think we need to pair/15 *something* to get out of this game. Just never the first card. |
Joined: June 2016 (827 votes) Friday 7:02 AM
lonmower says: QUESTION
Which is a better pegging hand?
3345 or 4556 MarktheShark says: I would expect 4556 to be almost a full point better for pegging, but we should not be aggressively pegging here with Pone only 11 holes out. We will be at least at 118 (99+1+16+2) after this hand if we do no pegging at all (which might be impossible even if we tried). |
Joined: February 2008 (5717 votes) Friday 11:08 AM
At 99*-110 playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
________________Pone's Defense___Hand__Pegs____Crib_Total____Win %___Loss % 4-5-5-6____15.74+(-2.02)+5.60=19.32____61.4____38.6 3-3-4-5____13.57+(-2.17)+6.37=17.77____52.2____45.1 4-5-5-6 is better for expected averages by 1.55pts. and is very much better for Win/Loss %s. So, I'll select the 3-3 to discard. After the 10 cut I'll play Defense to the lead. JQT says: Imagine Pone holds (A 6 7 8) today, and after an X Card Cut, Pone leads the 7 Card . . . π¨ |