Today's results so far
63% 63% | |||||
23% 23% | |||||
8% 8% | |||||
2% 2% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
0% 0% | |||||
| Total votes: 256 | |||||
| Gougie00 | I need a bundle and some pegging. Do I toss 78 and pray for 234, or hedge tossing 3-4 and pray for a 78? Is it already too late to make a difference? |
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Joined: August 2019 (1186 votes) Friday 3:48 AM
Tossing 2-9 for the win. Starting things off with the 8. |
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Joined: May 2021 (467 votes) Friday 3:55 AM
Max cut is 4 for 14, but a 7 cut serve us just as well for 14 with another 4 in the deck to potentially peg against, and who knows, maybe we get fortunate and 2-9 balks the crib and we see another deal. I'm still being aggressive here, cutting the spread if nothing else. Lead the 7.
Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage 118 to 121 LOSS All Chalk Pegging Hands 5-6 will determine the ultimate outcome today. tevdodd says: 7 for 12. Don't know why I wrote for 14. tevdodd says: On the note of my early morning mis-typing, where is MarkTheShark? He was good for pointing out my mis-typings before I was done typing them. HfxKen says: I believe he stopped posting after JQT was admonished for a political statement he made. Wish they would come back. james500 says: Hi both, hope you're well. This is the first time I've heard a reason for their absence, so thank you for sharing it. I don't suppose you know when this statement was made, Ken? I must have missed it at the time, and am curious to know what was said. HfxKen says: JQT last posted sometime mid August. Mark was after that. Not sure of dates. I'm guessing the reasons why they stopped as I know neither of them personally. Just my take on what I read.
tevdodd says: I know JQT stopped shortly after I questioned what was going on with hand selection as I knew better hands were being thrown out compared to what was presented. That said, I'm still an advocate for the occasional 90/10 hand just as a friendly reminder to us all that not every hand has a secret hidden door answer. HfxKen says: JQT posted after your thoughts on hand selection. In your follow up comment you retracted your original post. IMO, all was good |
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Joined: May 2025 (127 votes) Friday 4:01 AM
I know if I peeked at the bottom of the stack in my hand when I cut it would be a 4. |
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Joined: February 2009 (1811 votes) Friday 4:32 AM
Youre going to need about 20 things to go exactly right here but I think the best chance is to make your best defensive discard and hope dealer falls 1 or 2 holes short-briefly considered keeping keeping the 2449 for the potential 12 hand coupled with the 9 lead to try and score some pegs on the north side of 21 but that was probably asking for 21 things to go right lol Sgt Pegger says: I applied the same reasoning. Will Christmas come early? |
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Joined: March 2008 (6333 votes) Friday 4:46 AM
The last train out of Dodge and I missed it. Grr-r. |
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Joined: April 2008 (7088 votes) Friday 4:49 AM
This one looks like two percent to win in two hands. Hope for cut and reckless pegging by opponent. dec |
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Joined: March 2022 (393 votes) Friday 5:28 AM
I feel marginally more confident somehow pegging six with this hand compared to any other option, assuming a 2, 3, 4, 9 cut. If the cut is anything else, with a 7-8 toss things look bleak, but I think this gives the best chance. |
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Joined: June 2025 (167 votes) Friday 5:47 AM
Taking the L... but going down swinging |
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Joined: March 2016 (2379 votes) Friday 6:01 AM
Defensive discard is a start. |
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Joined: February 2009 (1733 votes) Friday 6:25 AM
Looking for that bingo 4 cut for 14, and then still need to peg 4. If we do get the miracle 4 cut, I think we have to lead the 8. |
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Joined: August 2023 (304 votes) Friday 6:26 AM
In this position I can’t see tossing 78 or anything that could possibly setup the crib. |
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Joined: February 2020 (1354 votes) Friday 6:38 AM
Hope to get a cut and maybe parlay those fours into 2 pegs then 6. |
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Joined: December 2023 (430 votes) Friday 6:41 AM
That K didn't help but with the 9-2 toss it shouldn't help them either. Probably looking a a loss but we got peg this hand and next to have a shot. Lead the 4 but don't get your hopes up!
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 12th Dec 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 113 🌋SP: 1580 📅Streak: 11 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/699/8363472/1 |
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Joined: August 2024 (239 votes) Friday 6:48 AM
Easy win-Just cut an 8 then lead Then peg 8-7-6 (3) 5-4 (5) then count my 12. King cut certainly puts a wrinkle in this flawless plan. tevdodd says: Unfortunately, there's no 6 available for us to peg. |
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Joined: May 2024 (600 votes) Friday 6:50 AM
Ditto |
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Joined: June 2013 (4508 votes) Friday 6:53 AM
Tough spot to be in.
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 12th Dec 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 118 🌋SP: 1475 📅Streak: 179 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/699/3333658/1 * Spoilers ahead* 1. 8-9 2. Q-K 3. A-J 4. J-K 5. Q-K 6. 2-4 7. 8-9 8. A-K As Tevdodd says, the pegging in hand 6 could prove to be decisive. I lost 6:20! fentesk says: I knew I lost the pegging on that hand, but didn't realize it was as bad as it was until the end (I also went 6-20). tevdodd says: I peaked at yours before I posted, the pegging in Hand 5 was what gave you the win vs my loss. Tall Troy says: I got through hands five (1:3) and six (4:7) ok. Mainly due to the fact that I've quit trying to pair cards while pegging (unless it is too close to 31) and am very cautious with runs....and I knew these two hands were tricky. My close call was almost hand 8 where I went 0:6. I got lucky and pegged 5:0 in hand 9 for the win....121-114. |
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Joined: July 2017 (839 votes) Friday 7:36 AM
Looking for lady luck today. |
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Joined: March 2020 (1382 votes) Friday 8:16 AM
Echo, echo, echo :)
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Joined: August 2025 (118 votes) Friday 8:37 AM
The most ways to 12 (2, 3, 4, or 9 cut). The far-fetched winning play strat is to get trips 4s. Lead 2 to force off their 4, follow with 9, and then gather the six needed peg points from trips 4s. Of course all this play only matters if you land the cut…
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage 12th Dec 2025 🏆Score: 121 to 116 🌋SP: 1495 📅Streak: 361 https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/699/7389935/1 |
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Joined: April 2021 (1320 votes) Friday 9:32 AM
We'll likely have to peg 6 points providing we get a great cut to give us 12 points. Dealer won't offer us a free pass by pairing if we lead a 4, for example. We can still get a lucky cut for 12 (or 14 if we happen to cut a 3rd 4) if we attempt to balk the crib by throwing 2-9. Odds are overwhelmingly against us, but when all else fails, try and take advantage of every possibility, even if there is a 5% chance without any better options at our disposal. I would lead the 8 and try to put our 4's to good use in the pegging. Hawthorn says: Nice to see you commenting again, MtE! MiketheExpert says: Thanks Hawthorn! I don't know my login credentials and thought I would need to create a new ID, no way I can see to recover it, but I found my computer that stored my password even though I don't know it :) |
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Joined: December 2025 (9 votes) Friday 9:47 AM
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Joined: December 2025 (9 votes) Friday 10:09 AM
Have been with CH for a few years, but lost my sign-in, was really only shadowing with little courage to post. I am likely the most casual player, and probably will never make it to a tournament. However, I have greatly appreciated the spirit of the folks here and try to learn from the great comments. So glad to see Eulos619 posting again. The site lost three quality posters when Ras died and JQT and Eolus619 stopped posting at about the same time. Glad to see lots of new names as well as so many of the long term posters continuing and Mike returning.
I have learned a lot about Cribbage by following you all, admire your wisdom and longstanding relationships. As for me today, I split taking the high and low, trying to make what I had put points on the board while not giving up points to the dealer. Doing the best with what I had, and who knows- maybe another 4 will surface in the cut, or a 7. HaydenSr says: Hello PT. Welcome back. |
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Joined: February 2008 (5861 votes) Friday 1:02 PM
At 103-112* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
_______________Our Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___Win %__Loss % 4-4-7-8____7.80+1.15+(-4.36)=4.59____1.3____89.6 4C-7-8-9___7.07+1.41+(-4.95)=3.53____0.5____90.9 2-4-4-7____6.26+1.50+(-5.24)=2.52____0.4____90.1 4-4-7-8 is best for expected averages by 1.06pts. and is best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s. So, I'll select the 2-9 to discard. After the K cut I'll lead a 4 and play Offense: Lead_________Our Pegging Points 4___________________1.23 8___________________1.18 7___________________0.92 ryman554 says: What happened to 2449? Inushtuk1 says: Hi ryman554. 2-4-4-9 with the cut of a 4, is only 12 points. 4-4-7-8, and the safer Crib discard with that same cut is 14. A 3 cut with the former is 12 points; but 4-4-7-8 with the 3 cut is almost as good at 10 points, and the safer discard has been made. I suppose HalscribCLX doesn't believe that the discard should be an "I don't care"; as JQT liked to say. |
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Joined: January 2025 (296 votes) Friday 1:59 PM
I know I can cut to 12 and peg 6.... Inushtuk1 says: There isn't anything that positive thinking can't make better. |
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