Today's results so far

*** This hand was suggested by Gougie00
0-0*  ?
33%
29%
8%
7%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 183

Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

Rosemarie44
1374 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Saturday 3:06 AM
Believed that tossing the pair of six's was safer than tossing 5-6 to opponent with today's hand. We have sixteen points with the cut of a 6 and opponent has six points in his crib. Quite a coincidence that a six turns up as the starter.
Please login to reply
mrob2199
165 votes

Joined: February 2009

   
Saturday 3:17 AM
Completely agree with Rosemarie here-the 5-6 is potentially much more dangerous-and keeping the double 5 gives us 12 instead of 10 with any picture cut
Please login to reply
dec
4651 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Saturday 3:27 AM
16 faces and only five of the 6/9 available . We are non dealer here so start with the 8-2 and hope to increase from twelve to seventeen. Numbers lead the six. dec
Please login to reply
dgergens
399 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Saturday 3:56 AM
All of the above.
Please login to reply
james500
2285 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Saturday 3:58 AM
Concerned about the value of their crib, but what will be will be. 6 lead.
Please login to reply
usacoder
71 votes

Joined: August 2019

   
Saturday 4:56 AM
With my Monte Carlo program, that plays the whole hand - total points from play and show, throwing any 5-6 combo gets on average 15.2 points. Second best is any pair of 6s for an average of 14.9. Almost too close to call.
Please login to reply
JQT
2611 votes

Joined: October 2008

   
Saturday 5:04 AM
Aside from Toss (6 7), Toss (6 6) may be the safest discard we have today.

Throwing a 5 Card might tidy things up on 'our side' of the board, but could wreak havoc and make our situation much worse 'over the board.'

Now, do we dare lead a 5 Card to start a game and from such a hand? I often do!

Leading a 5 Card can *only* cost us at most an immediate Two Points, and it's often worth the price of admission paid to learn the most about the composition of the Dealer's Hand.
Please login to reply
mfetchCT425
412 votes

Joined: February 2009

   
Saturday 5:44 AM
Agree with those above with this hold. Double run holding the two 5s makes the most sense to me. There is no balking cards we can toss to opponent’s crib, but I think 6-6 is safer than 5-6, and I would guess in the same ball park as 6-7. I would lead the 7 and look to dump a 5 on next play.
Please login to reply
JCM
262 votes

Joined: April 2019

   
Saturday 5:49 AM
(6h 6d) for me. Discard both red 6s so that with what remains a fake flush is possible.

(6d 6c) could achieve that same effect.

JQT's thought on leading 5c is intriguing.
Please login to reply
Gougie00
4052 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Saturday 5:55 AM
Toss 6-6?
Please login to reply
glmccuskey
3090 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Saturday 6:07 AM
Looks unanimous. I’ll lead the seven and peg aggressively from there.
Please login to reply
Ras2829
3516 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Saturday 6:39 AM
Got to toss 6-6. I'll get rid of those with a blush. It's off., off., off since opening n/d. Been a very busy week as have been hosting the I-5 North Toutle Rest Area all week. Baked 1,200 cookies to go with coffee, tea, or hot chocolate. All volunteer project with donated supplies. no charge though we can accept donations. If traveling the I-5 corridor this past week, you just might have sampled some of those home-made cookies. Logan Hill Grange does this 3 weeks in the year during months of October, February, and March. More later!
Please login to reply
cribbagepogo
2896 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Saturday 8:19 AM
Academic which sixes to dump. That skews the percentages above a bit. Wish I was there to donate my oatmeal raisin cookies or chocolate chips. (I'd probably eat the CC cookies first.)
Please login to reply
Cribsurfer
307 votes

Joined: September 2016

   
Saturday 8:31 AM
Well I guess the dealer's gonna get at least 6 in their crib after the cut. Figured first hand I want to keep my 5's together and start with the most points I can.
Please login to reply
Hillchem
1411 votes

Joined: April 2015

   
Saturday 9:08 AM
I’ve know where every 6 is, so I’d lead the 6 I still have. If dealer plays a 9, I’d play a 5 to make it 20.
Please login to reply
Coeurdelion
3976 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Saturday 2:32 PM
I don't see any real alternative to throwing 6-6 and keeping 8pts. The next best, which I wouldn't be keen on, would be 5-6 (unsuited). I'll compare the two:

5-5-6-7: 8pts - 6¾pts (Schell: 7.08) = +1¼pts

5-6-6-7: 8pts - 7½pts (Schell: 7.47) = +½pt

Potential:

5-5-6-7: Improves with 2222, 3333, 4444, 55, 6, 777, 8888, 9999 + 16xXs = 42 cuts = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 12/14/16/17pts with 3333, 4444, 55, 6, 777, 8888 + 16xXs = 34 cuts.

5C-6-6-7: Improves with 2222, 3333, 4444, 55, 6, 777, 8888, 9999 + 16xXs = 42 cuts = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 12/14/15/16pts with 2222, 3333, 4444, 55, 6, 777, 8888, 9999 = 26 cuts.

Position:

As First Pone I'll play Offense.

Pegging:

Both should peg well playing Offense.

Summary:

5-5-6-7 has a starting value ¾pt more and although it has the same number of cuts for improvement it has more cuts for a good to very good hand (34 vs. 26). So I'll throw 6-6.
Please login to reply
HalscribCLX
3753 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Saturday 2:47 PM
At 0*-0 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Our
Offense___Hand__Pegs__Crib___Total___W9 %____W10 %
5-5-6-7___12.04+1.15+(-6.04)=7.15____36.3____28.7
5C-6-6-7__11.63+1.65+(-6.83)=6.45____36.4____27.5

Offense______L9 %____L10 %
5-5-6-7______43.8____48.1
5C-6-6-7_____45.4____49.4

5-5-6-7 is better for expected averages by 0.70pt and is better for Win %s and Loss %s so I'll select 6-6 to discard.

After the 6 cut I'll lead the 7 and play Offense:

Lead_____________Our Pegging Pts.
7_____________________1.23
5_____________________1.17
6_____________________0.98
Please login to reply