Today's results so far

*** This hand was suggested by Penguin50
86-77*  ?
83%
83%
16%
16%
0%
0%
Total votes: 209
Penguin50Play offence or defence?
Rosemarie44

Joined: March 2016 (2222 votes)

Saturday 3:11 AM
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4328 votes)

Saturday 3:14 AM
Twelve points guarantees I'll be dealing from hole 98 in the next hand. Hopefully they'll still be behind me when we get there.

Wordle 1,456 3/6

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dec

Joined: April 2008 (6838 votes)

Saturday 3:18 AM
take twelve and the chances they get thirty or more. Obvious choice for me. dec
tevdodd

Joined: May 2021 (246 votes)

Saturday 3:20 AM
We're cut-proof to our positional hole, and they've got an uphill climb from -19. I don't see the need to overthink this today.

Wordle 1,456 4/6

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JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4497 votes)

Saturday 3:30 AM
It's much better to hold more points and give away fewer points. And the best DEFENSE is sometimes a good OFFENSE. If we Toss (6 J), that would maybe reduce the Crib Value by Two Points at the MOST, but it would also chop our starting Hand down from a Dozen Points to a mere Six Points, and we cannot DEFEND by doing this much harm to our potential Hand.

Let's Toss (6 7) and bring our Jacks to the Parade! 🌈 🌈 🌈 After the Ace of Hearts Cut, we now have Thirteen Points, and we'll proudly lead a Jack.

Additionally, I cannot imagine a place where I might consider Toss (J J), even at a score of say (106-115*), because while (5 5 6 7) has Eight Cuts (55, 666, 777) that would yield Fifteen Points or more, but (5 5 J J) has TWICE AS MANY or Sixteen Cuts (55, TTTT, JJ, QQQQ, KKKK) that yield Sixteen Points or more! Unless you know for certain that a 6 Card or 7 Card will be the Cut Card, it's ALWAYS BEST to Toss (6 7). 💙💛 🌻🌻🌻 🍹🍪

Wordle 1,456 3/6

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Eolus619 says: JQT..although we are playing as n/der, perhaps it is still a good place to remind less experienced players about your dealer discard “cousins” which can start with zero and earn 5+ in crib.. 3/4..6/7..J/Q..Pone sending them is the equivalent of dealer sending them..today it happens it is still the best discard choice and one would hope 6/7 does not turn into 5+.
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6152 votes)

Saturday 4:15 AM
The rule is to never break up a double-run. This is one of the exceptions. I'll hold my sure 12 points.
mrob2199

Joined: February 2009 (1680 votes)

Saturday 4:21 AM
This should be close to 90 percent-keep the max points to get as far down 4th street as possible for your next deal-if the opponent goes 44 points in 3 counts with your 67 discard shake his hand and wish him well
glmccuskey

Joined: April 2011 (4476 votes)

Saturday 4:24 AM
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (667 votes)

Saturday 5:08 AM
LOL!!!!!!!! My favorite toss to the pones crib!
Inushtuk1 says: 7 out of every 8 tries you get away with it I remember.
JQT says: My favorite Pone Discard in Cribbage is Toss (2 3) . . . because . . . just imagine how good my HAND MUST BE . . . (5 5 5 5), (4 5 6 6), (7 7 7 8) . . . if I am willing to give away a Deuce and a Trey! 😝 🌟 💥
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2856 votes)

Saturday 5:08 AM
Echos reverberating...
domandcarol

Joined: August 2023 (138 votes)

Saturday 5:09 AM
Breaking the don’t break a double run rule.
Eolus619

Joined: June 2020 (1742 votes)

Saturday 5:52 AM
ALWAYS a good idea to read Rob M’s comments..today is no exception ..and Jazz’s increasingly famous cribbage theorem applies today..keeping a double run is the best idea until it isn’t.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (421 votes)

Saturday 6:35 AM
Ditto!
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1820 votes)

Saturday 7:20 AM
Ditto; besides, who wants to lead from 5-5-6-7? One of those 5's always ends up in a trap play.
MarktheShark

Joined: January 2024 (486 votes)

Saturday 7:40 AM
We are in good position if we keep our 12-meld. So is Dealer. Both the 6-7 and J-J pitches might help Dealer catch us, but we retain the advantage with deal in hand.
jmudge

Joined: July 2020 (1017 votes)

Saturday 7:47 AM
Too many points to throw away, IMO.
Penguin50

Joined: June 2024 (23 votes)

Saturday 7:54 AM
I tossed 6/7 in this game and opponent got a 24 point crib on the way to a comeback win.
Eolus619 says: hello Penguin50…welcome..encourage you to keep posting ..24 point cribs..it certainly can happen 💥
JJx7fan

Joined: December 2023 (128 votes)

Saturday 9:49 AM
Ditto!
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5687 votes)

Saturday 10:20 AM
At 86-77* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Our
Offense___Hand__Pegs_Crib____Total___W2 %____W3 %
5-5-J-J____14.30+1.15+(-5.75)=9.70____29.2____82.4
5-5-6-7____12.22+1.20+(-6.15)=7.26____20.3____74.6
5-5-6-JH____9.46+1.30+(-4.21)=6.55____11.7____61.2

Offense______L2 %____L3 %
5-5-J-J_______1.6_____4.3
5-5-6-7_______1.5_____7.8
5-5-6-JH______0.6____10.1

5-5-J-J is best for expected averages by 2.44pts and is very much best for Win %s and lower for Loss %s. So I'll select the 6-7 to discard.

After the A cut I'll lead a J and play Defense:

Lead________Dealer's Pegging Points
J___________________(-2.26)
5___________________(-3.18)