Today's results so far

*** This hand was suggested by Andy (muesli64)
104-116*  ?
62%
28%
5%
1%
1%
0%
Total votes: 143

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dec
4372 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Sunday 3:01 AM
a one percent better chance with this keep. dec
Reply
Rosemarie44
1116 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Sunday 3:55 AM
I don't think we have a snowball's chance in hell with these cards at this position on the board.
Reply
Gougie00
3798 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Sunday 4:51 AM
Doctor, doctor, its a recurring dream ...
Paramount defense, lead the 4, try to ditch the 5, and play off.
Reply
horus93
330 votes

Joined: December 2017

   
Sunday 5:52 AM
Easier to play off with this hand? Not very good odds of getting the cut we need either way.
Reply
Hillchem
1181 votes

Joined: April 2015

   
Sunday 9:56 AM
Alright, so I missed the cut. I don't see any reason to play defence at all. This game is a sure loss, so the best I can do is to try to peg a a couple to help with the differential.
Reply
HalscribCLX
3512 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Sunday 1:14 PM
At 104-116* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages (ignoring the crib) and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Our
Defense___Hand__Pegs_Total____W1 %
5-J-Q-K___11.39+1.15=12.54____25.0
4-5-6-J____9.98+1.04=11.02____12.5

5-J-Q-K is better for expected averages by 1.52pt and is twice as likely to Win as 4-5-6-J so I'll select 4-6 to discard.

After the 3 cut I'll lead the 5 and play Offense:

Lead___________Loss %s
5_______________80.9
J_______________86.2
Q_______________88.5
K_______________91.2
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Coeurdelion
3744 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Sunday 1:50 PM
Even more reason to keep the 5-J-Q-K
Reply