Tuesday 3:11 AM

Not messing around with the double run. My 2nd choice is to toss 5-6. I wonder if that is the better choice. I might learn something useful today.

Tuesday 3:17 AM

Two double run options, but I'll choose this instead. Maybe having 6-7-7 out of circulation hurts 5-6 too much though?

** Cribbage Pro spoilers ahead **

1. *0-0, 4-5
2. 16-10*, 2-10c
3. *27-39, 8-9
4. 58-54*, 6-Q
5. *73-86, J-6
6. 95-92*, 4h-7, (didn't want to risk 6-7, and the 3-2-6 combo can be useful sometimes.
7. *106-110, 8-10

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
15th Jul 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 119
🔥SP: 1320
📅Streak: 29
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/549/3333658/1

I thought I'd blown it on hand 4. The AI went from hole 54 to 86! I hung on though for a narrow, (and lucky), victory.

Tuesday 3:30 AM

Pretty close results between tossing 2-7 or 2-6.

Tuesday 3:30 AM

Top notch submission today from James. 3 options I see and, frankly, I'd probably have them on repeat. Keeping the 2 does give us a very slight "out".

Cribbage Pro Daily Cribbage *Spoiler*
Score: 121-120

Discards:
1. 4-5 0*-0
2. 2-T
3. 8-9
4. 6-Q
5. 6-J
6. 4-7 95-94*
7. 8-T

Frustrating day today, thought I'd look at the top 1st attempt spread in an attempt to learn. Then I saw they tossed A-4 out of A45688 from 0*-0. No learning being done today. That said, I already knew a large part of the swing differential for me today was in the pegging of hand 4.

Wordle 1,487 4/6*

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Tuesday 3:37 AM

It's Sizzling Pink in the Middle of Hot 👹 July already, and we're once again Dealing as we are barely getting off of First Street, and while we are the Dealer sitting a pretty Seven Points beyond the First Street Par Hole 18, more importantly we are trailing our Opponent by a considerable amount, what's sometimes referred to in golf as an "Executive Course" or a "Half Round" or simply (and more familiar to Cribbage Players), we're behind by Nine Holes. And I couldn't have summarized that longer myself.

However, we did deal ourselves a real smorgasbord of goodies, including but not limited to: two separate (but equal?) Double Runs, specifically (5 6 6 7) or (5 6 7 7), as well as two different ways to stow a 5 Card into our Crib, including a choice between possibly the rational, natural, garden-variety and down-to-Earth (2 6 7 7), or the more preternatural and speculative (6 6 7 7), which could transform itself into Twenty Points if we go out on a nearly 9% limb and manage to cut an 8 Card!

I believe it was Five Summers Ago, during the pandemonium that was the Pandemic Era, in what ironically now seems like a much simpler world when we debated at-length the Pegging Merits (as well as myriad other aspects) of (5 6 6 7) as opposed to (5 6 7 7), when the "Kicker Card" back in 2020 was a Jack in a wonderful puzzle by Jazzselke, when almost all of us agreed that the former or (5 6 6 7) was the better specimen for pegging.

It never ceases to amaze me how the act of spending considerable time and effort on an arrangement that sometimes may not even be identical but is merely similar, and it can just "pop back into memory" years or even decades later, saving a lot of work, because once you really put in the time and effort on a given hand, or even on just a pattern within a hand, it often "sticks" and can be retrieved at a later time to help solve another similar quandary or decision!

Recognizing constructs in Chess Positions when looking at games or solving puzzles that have a similar or identical pattern works in EXACTLY the same way, and the cumulative knowledge in your memory can become an assembly of bits and pieces that form a structure like a bridge, a helpful time-saving and effort-reducing device in which you can more readily navigate the treacherous waters of 'This Game of Ours' that we call Cribbage! Okay, that's a little bit heavy on the allegorical, and we all know that too much extended metaphor can make our thoughts become untenable and unmanageable!

Ref: https://dailycribbagehand.org/show.php?date=2020-07-19

So, if we peg better with (5 6 6 7) or the Double Run with Two 6 Cards, that means we are likely looking at a decision between (5 6 6 7) and Toss (2 7), vs. (2 6 7 7) and Toss (5 6). One thing I've seen a lot of Intermediate, and even a few very Strong Players, get tangled up on is choosing an idea with a superior Dealer Discard such as Toss (5 6), which indeed is a LOT BETTER than either Toss (2 7) or Toss (2 6), even while knowing that as far as the Hands go, (2 6 7 7) is far weaker than (5 6 6 7).

What exactly am I referring to here? When we say that a Dealer Discard is far, or even "vastly" better than another, this can typically be tantamount to being a Full Point or maybe even Two or Three Points better, and regardless of the magnitude, it's an entirely different "scale" than either the Pegging (which is an even Smaller Scale), or the Hand Score (which is a Larger Scale). For example: Pegging a LOT MORE might mean we obtain an additional Two or Three Holes Pegged, and it makes sense, because Average Dealer Pegging is about 3.5 Holes.

An Average Crib is from 4.5 to about 4.8 Points, so a LOT MORE could even be referring to as little added gain as Three or Four Points. And yet when it comes to Hand Score, we tend to average close to Eight Points, so a LOT MORE could be anything from a Dozen and more likely on up to Sixteen Points! In simple terms, it's relative. And where players can sometimes get "gummed up" is when holding onto an inferior Hand because the associated Crib of say Toss (5 6) promises to score a LOT MORE than Toss (2 7), which makes sense, but in the process of obtaining a LOT MORE in the Crib, and giving up a LITTLE BIT MORE or SOMEWHAT MORE in the Hand, you may end up with a lower NET Total!

To put it more bluntly (and maybe more simply): Toss (5 6) might certainly gain us an added Three Points (a LOT MORE) in our Crib, but at the same time, it means we'll get perhaps Three Points (or SOMEWHAT LESS) in our Hand in the process, but since (5 6 6 7) will likely peg at least One Point better than (2 6 7 7), it's all for a NET Loss of at least a Full Point, and maybe more! We got a LOT MORE of a Smaller-Scaled Thing (in our Crib), and yet it all gets erased by SOMEWHAT MORE of a Larger-Scaled Thing (in our Hand), so the Pegging Difference between these two choices now becomes our "Profit and/or Loss" or Marginal Decision!

It's all a matter of proportion or SCALE, and it helps to remember that when we refer to a better Pegging Hand, it might loosely be a matter of just a Point, while a better Crib might refer to an additional Two or Three Points, where a better Hand could be in reference to an additional Four or Five or even more Added Points. If we're not in a Defensive Struggle, a Better Pegging Hand will often have to take a back seat to throwing ourselves a Better Crib, and a Better Crib will often be inferior to the retention of a Better Hand, and that's because the "Better" SCALE is different and relative to all of our three means of generating points.

Toss (5 6) is ranked anywhere from Number Four to Number Six out of the Ninety-One Dealer Discards, while Toss (2 7) is way, way down at Number Fifty-Three out of Ninety-One Dealer Discards, so Toss (5 6) is indeed a LOT BETTER than Toss (2 7) on that scale, but when we compare the SOMEWHAT BETTER (5 6 6 7) Hand with the inferior (2 6 7 7) Hand, it's based on an entirely different measure or SCALE, for while there are Ninety-One different discards, there exist millions upon millions of different hands!

Let's Toss (2d 7d) suited today, and allow the Better Pegging Hand as well as Better Scoring Hand to emerge and do more for our NET Total than even the much superior Toss (5 6) Dealer Discard, because it's unlikely that even a lot better discard will be able to energize our Crib and score as much as we should gain with the superior Hand as well as Pegging we should derive from (5 6 6 7). After the Ten "T" Card Cut, we now have Ten Points in our Hand, with prospects for a weak Crib, but we maintain good prospects for our Pegging. 🌾 🌹 🌿

Wordle 1,487 3/6

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Tuesday 4:34 AM

Better defensive pegging. More high end cuts for the main hand. Suited in the crib. dec

Tuesday 5:13 AM

For me the double run looks like the best option( whatever discards used to get there). Just wondering if this is a case for being double run blind?

Tuesday 5:24 AM

Any cut gives us at least 2 more points

Tuesday 5:39 AM

Like this double run slightly more as it’s guaranteed to be at least 10 after any cut.

Tuesday 5:40 AM

Good puzzle. Lots of options. Like domandcarol mentions, I tend to be enamored with the double runs. I decided to try a different tack today, but I still think the double run is the best option.

Tuesday 5:46 AM

5-6 is too speculative for me. Prefer to keep both 6's instead of both 7's for pegging.

Tuesday 5:51 AM

5677 improves on any cut; 5667 misses on the Ace. Tempted to throw the suited 56, but not with 2 sevens in the hand. Different than the puzzle from 5 years ago that JQT references.

Tuesday 5:53 AM

I see the value of the 5-6 discard but , but at this score I am going with the sure ten points since cuts from 13/13 ranks add at least two points. Favoring D for pegging. Trying to be ahead and dealing first in CPZ #3..much work to be done since “26” says 67*-70.

Tuesday 5:54 AM

Best of the several options for me

Tuesday 7:38 AM

I simply preferred the suited 5,6 to my crib over the other options. Holding the double run for is the smartest approach in this case.... sometimes I gamble and hit big, which is not always the smartest play.

Tuesday 1:23 PM

The best throw!!

Tuesday 2:04 PM

At 25*-34 playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Pone's
Defense___Hand__Pegs____Crib_Total____W7 %____W8 %
5-6-7-7*___11.70+(-1.96)+3.46=13.20____44.2____41.1
5-6-6-7*___11.70+(-2.15)+3.49=13.04____44.6____41.0
2-6-7-7*____8.52+(-2.30)+6.30=12.52____41.2____40.2

Defense_______L7 %____L8 %
5-6-7-7*_______49.3____39.8
5-6-6-7*_______49.7____39.9
2-6-7-7*_______47.6____40.7

* suited discard

5-6-7-7 is best for expected averages by 0.16pt. and although it is very slightly lower than 5-6-6-7 for Win %s it is better for Loss %s. So, I'll select 2-6D to discard.

After the 10 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.

Tuesday 4:50 PM

Kept the double but to be honest, I could have tossed the suited 5 & 6 just as easily