Monday 3:10 AM

It pays to Flush. Tossing 4-5 to my crib. Start with 9 points in the hand.

Monday 3:32 AM

I'll try the flush, but 5-5 and 5h-8 are decent options too.

** Cribbage Pro spoilers **

1. 0-0*, J-Q
2. 17*-28, A-4
3. 26-39*, 2h-9c?
4. 33*-53, 3-4
5. 51-60*, Q-K
6. 58*-73, 7-8
7. 90-84*, A-A
8. 104*-93, 3-5

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
7th Jul 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 102
🌋SP: 1775
📅Streak: 21
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/541/3333658/1

Monday 3:33 AM

This feels like a "Don't overthink this" puzzle, but I'm sure JQT will find some interesting answer to befuddle the mind. I'd rather play aggressively at this point, but be aware that 7 cut could leave your opp sitting with 20 or 24.

Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage *SPOILER*
Score: 121 to 100

Discards:
1. J-Q
2. A-4
3. 9-J 26-39*
4. 3-4
5. Q-K
6. 7-8
7. A-A 93-80*
8. 3-5

Monday 3:35 AM

Triple play. dec

Monday 3:41 AM

Echo today

Monday 3:50 AM

Drunk will power. 3 ways to go but I like the flush here.

Monday 4:19 AM

Never saw the ❤️❤️❤️❤️. Coffee time…

Monday 4:24 AM

Flush starts us with 9 before the cut. 4-5 to crib is a top tier discard to own crib. Good pegging prospects as well.

Monday 5:02 AM

Agreed

Monday 5:14 AM

I'm onboard

Monday 5:21 AM

After what I said yesterday, with a second sentence that wouldn't die:

Synopsis: Toss (5 5) as a Dealer Discard is the strongest discard in all of Cribbage, and it has a Crib Value of nearly Nine Points! That is not a hypothetical figure: an "average" means that mathematically, if you examine all of those instances over a lifetime that you place Toss (5 5) into your Own Crib, and add up all the points you obtain from it, and then divide that amount by the number of instances, you WILL (guaranteed) get a figure (within a decimal place) of around 8.8 Points (Schell), just the same as a coin-flip of Heads will ALWAYS trend toward occurring 50% of the time. Our Hand only gets help from One Card in Cribbage (the Cut Card), while our Crib gets help from THREE CARDS: (the Cut Card, as well as Pone's two discards). 🧀 🍷 🌿

One might think I would Toss (5 5) as well today. I would, but only as my Second Choice. With the FLUSH of (3h 4h 5h 8h), we begin with Nine Points, and all but Six Non-Heart-Suited Cut Cards (AsAdAc, 9s9d9c) add to this. And, while Toss (5 5) is indeed the King of all Dealer Discards, Toss (4 5) is no slouch, as it 'chimes in' at 6.48 Points (Schell). 🏋🏼‍♂️

Let's retain the FLUSH and Toss (4c 5d) today. After the 7 of Spades Cut Card, we now have Thirteen Points in our Hand, with prospects for a good Crib. 🍡

Wordle 1,479 4/6 (all green)

🟩🟩⬛⬛⬛
⬛⬛🟩⬛⬛
⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Monday 5:53 AM

I tossed the 55. Didn't see the flush. But I'll stand by that toss based purely on the 7 cut (for 10 in the hand, and the pone discarding a safe X6 in my crib to make a dozen) and it's now 110-100*

Monday 5:57 AM

I did not see the flush either or I would have chosen it. We are in desperation mode here and I need a good cut ... Opponent is in position and we are very short.

Monday 6:03 AM

A “working “ flush and a five to my crib….cut help from 12/13 ranks and the remaining hearts … sign me up ..PS.today..good example that the Big Hand rule is the answer until it isn’t

Monday 6:39 AM

I couldn’t resist throwing 55 into my crib. Again.

Monday 7:10 AM

What they said.

Monday 8:00 AM

Flush? What flush? The 55 into my crib was just too blinding to see anything else.

Monday 10:37 AM

At 86*-91 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

__________________Our
Offense_____Hand__Pegs_Crib_Total____W2 %_____W3 %
3-4H-5H-8____12.13+3.76+6.19=22.08____25.7_____32.8
3-4-4-5D_____11.70+3.67+5.51=20.88____19.9_____27.1
3-4-4-8_______8.26+3.11+8.67=20.04____18.9_____28.3

Offense_________L2 %____L3 %
3-4H-5H-8________28.5____55.7
3-4-4-5D_________28.5____61.2
3-4-4-8__________25.2____59.7

3-4H-5H-8 is best for expected averages by 1.20pts. and is considerably best for Win %s. Over the two deals it is also very slightly lowest for Loss %s. So, I'll select the 4C-5D to discard.

After the 7 cut I'll play Offense to the lead.

Monday 4:46 PM

I kept the flush in this case, with the following reasoning: this guarantees 9 pts in hand and we need at least 9, or even better 10+ to get to 4th street entry. The flush improves on 333, 44, 55, 6666, 7777, 888, any ten card. 3 4 5 8 gives us some decent playability. 4 5 to the crib improves on any ten card, 6666, 55, the possibility of the other two 4s, and 333 as well as AAAA and low card combinations possibly. The 7 cut gets our hand alone past the minimum we need. With some luck in the crib and some luck in pone having a lousy hand, we should be in good condition, it seems to me!

Reading the other comments makes me realize I totally missed on the potential of 3448, despite seeing the obvious benefits of throwing 55 to the crib! Amazing how easy it is to miss stuff that immediately seems clear the moment you see someone point it out. Still feel good going with the flush though, but I definitely see the logic and strength of the 3448 hand and 55 to crib.