tevdodd says: 2D lead after the fortuitous cut to 10.

JQT says: ⬛⬛⬛⬛🟩 / ⬛⬛⬛🟨⬛ / ⬛🟨⬛🟩🟩 / 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 . . . This was a recent 🐱‍👤 difficult Wordle Unlimited 4/6 . . . REF: https://wordplay.com/challenge/play?challenge_id=74970666

JQT says: If we examine Nineteen of those most helpful Cut Cards for the two main ideas today: (2) One Deuce, 2.2% odds: The "Case" Deuce Cut would boost (2 2 2 4) up to a Dozen Points, while immediately giving back just the PAIR of Two Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, yet with (2 2 2 6), we get the Dozen Points, and maybe we don't give back any at all; (3333) Four Treys, 8.7% odds: Any Trey Cut will boost (2 2 2 4) up to Fifteen Points, while immediately giving back at least Four Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, yet with (2 2 2 6), we will start with Eight Points, and maybe we don't give back any at all; (5555) Four 5 Cards, 8.7% odds: Any 5 Card Cut will boost (2 2 2 4) up to Eight Points, while giving back maybe just the PAIR of Two Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, but possibly a LOT more, yet with (2 2 2 6), we get a Dozen Points, and we give back at least Five Points, and maybe more; (66) Two 6 Cards, 4.3% odds: Any 6 Card Cut will NOT boost (2 2 2 4) up beyond the original Six Points, while immediately giving back at least ALL of those Six Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, and possibly more; yet with (2 2 2 6), we will start with Eight Points, and we give back at least Two Points and maybe more; (7777) Four 7 Cards, 8.7% odds: Any 7 Card Cut would boost (2 2 2 4) up to a Dozen Points, while immediately giving back just the PAIR of Two Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, but possibly a LOT more, yet with (2 2 2 6), we also get the Dozen Points, and maybe we don't give back any at all; (9999) Four 9 Cards, 8.7% odds: Any 9 Card Cut would boost (2 2 2 4) up to Fourteen Points, while immediately giving back at least Six of those Points with certainty in the Opponent's Crib, yet with (2 2 2 6), we will start with Ten Points, and we will give back at least Two Points, and maybe more. In the final analysis, it appears that only a 5 Card Cut will jeopardize the otherwise "SAFER" (2 2 2 6) Hand after we Toss (4 6), while holding (2 2 2 4) and throwing Toss (6 6) is indeed a much riskier idea, especially after about Ten Cuts (3333, 66, 9999), or nearly 22% of the time. 💐

Inushtuk1 says: Hey John. thanks for answering my query yesterday. Now why in the second hand at the bottom of the page 103*-110, did you play the A for a count of 26? Why not one of the deuces?

JQT says: Good Catch, My Friend! 🤗 I borrow from and use the Chess Notation for denoting a Good ❗ Move (!) or a Bad ❓ Move (?) in my Cribbage Pegging analyses, and you'll notice that I listed: A? [26] . . . so it was indeed a blunder on my part. In my partial defense, however: I had miscalculated in my brain during the playout that the Count was still at Twenty-Four, so I momentarily thought that in order to "trap" a Lone Pone Deuce (LPD) with my Deuce PAIR, things would need to proceed: A! [25] 2 [27] 2 [29-2] "go" 2 [31=8]. However, while still holding (A-2-2) at a Count of Twenty-Five, the Deuce is of course the correct card to play in order to "trap" a Deuce OR "trap" an Ace, DUH! Pegging therefore might have gone: (103*-110) 6 [6] K [16] 9 [25] 2! [27] A [28] A! [29=2] "go" 2 [31=2], 5 [5-1], (107*-111). Pone 6, Dealer 4, Crib 4, (115*-117). And so, I would have gone into the Third Deal at (115-117*) and had a better safety margin. Luckily, I am allowed to make one such mistake each year, and this year, I made it all the way to June! LOL 😋

ryman554 says: And if you look at keeping 2224, one of the cards that help you the most (9) gives the same amount of points (6) in the crib to the dealer from your cards only. And the other (3) gains you 9 but gives up 4. Always watch the net scores for cut cards.