Tuesday 3:07 AM

Comes down to giving the dealer 6 points for a 7 point hand, or hedging. I'll hedge. Lead the 3.

Tuesday 3:38 AM

Very good raz puzzle today. I agree with Gougie's assessment, but fortune favors the bold. Lead the 5, because it's always fun to see your opponents reaction when you open a game by leading a 5.

Tuesday 4:07 AM

Choices include Toss (9 J), Toss (9 T), Toss (2 3), and Toss (2 9). Let's Toss (9 J) today. After the 5s Cut, we now have Ten Points in this often-under-counted Hand (2+3+5+5=15 sometimes missed). Let's lead the Trey and try to peg a few holes.

Wordle 1,410 4/6

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Tuesday 4:19 AM

I love mucking the opponent crib. 2-9 discard for me.

Tuesday 4:46 AM

Opening non dealer, I’m on offense

Tuesday 4:52 AM

9J from me.

Tuesday 5:03 AM

Balkiest discard with still upside for this keep. dec

Tuesday 5:13 AM

Discarding 2-3 as n/der might have to be done on 4th street..but most certainly not on games 1st deal to hold just 7 & bet on a cut ..so no “Colvert” for me today ..GFDer needs eight to maintain “26” advantage and 2-3 averages 7.3 in the crib.

Tuesday 5:14 AM

It’s early so I’ll keep the the run and the points. 23 toss worth the risk.

Tuesday 5:40 AM

I’m with Gary today. Aggressive as first pone with this hand which seems to receive favorable cuts often.

Tuesday 5:59 AM

It’s early

Tuesday 6:01 AM

Keeping the 5 combos to myself...

Tuesday 6:24 AM

I would try 5-9-10-J(2-3) on 3rd or 4th Street, but not at 0-0*. But 3-5-10-J (2-9) seems too defensive. I will lead my 10, keeping the the 2-3-5 for later on offense.

Tuesday 6:54 AM

As Pone, first hand, need to be aggressive to try to approach that distant par hole (18). If we can do that, we can beat First Dealer to the game hole ... even if our 2-3 gives him a good crib first deal. With this great cut, we have 13 meld and should expect 1 or 2 more in the play. If our next hand (as Dealer) is above average, our opponent might need to play defense the rest of this game.

Tuesday 7:25 AM

First hand I’m all about the offense.

Tuesday 8:02 AM

First hand is all about points! Defense can come later!

Tuesday 8:19 AM

Sigh.... I just can't throw the 2,3 to the pones crib.

Tuesday 9:42 AM

Not crazy about holding 4 instead of 7. Certainly some risk, but that's cards.

Tuesday 9:59 AM

Nobody likes, tossing the second best set of cards into the opponent’s crib but sometimes you have to do what you have to do.

Tuesday 1:48 PM

At 0-0* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Our
Offense____Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___W9 %____W10 %
2-3-5-10____7.22+1.70+(-4.81)=4.11____25.6____23.7
5-9-10-J____9.76+1.30+(-7.19)=3.87____30.5____23.3
2-3-5-J_____7.48+1.63+(-5.24)=3.87____26.1____22.9
3-5-10-J____6.80+1.50+(-4.48)=3.82____24.1____23.7

Offense_______L9 %____L10 %
2-3-5-10_______38.4____50.9
5-9-10-J_______44.7____53.0
2-3-5-J________40.5____52.2
3-5-10-J_______36.5____50.3

2-3-5-10 is best for expected averages by 0.24pt. However, 5-9-10-J is best for Win %s but is worst for Loss %s. So I'll select the 9-J to discard.

After the 5 cut I'll lead the 5 and play Offense:

Lead______________Our Pegging Points
5________________________1.74
3________________________1.71
10_______________________1.67
2________________________1.59

Tuesday 2:01 PM

9 J from me because I’m not giving dealer more points on average than I’m keeping in hand by throwing 2 3.