March 22, 2023

*** This hand was suggested by scottcrib
0-0*  ?
29%
29%
17%
17%
14%
14%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 289
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4291 votes)

Wednesday 3:11 AM
Six points in hand and a seemingly safe discard.
horus93

Joined: December 2017 (1330 votes)

Wednesday 4:23 AM
I didn't even notice 26! I got tunnel-vision speculating on the relative risk/benefit of 24 vs 69 at 0-0* and all the problems inherent therein. But 26 is definitely right.
horus93 says: Toss 69 does leave the best hand for pegging and count but it's not sufficiently better than 2499 (or 2699) to be worth giving away two points to dealer.
scottcrib says: You made my point for me this morning. Tunnel vision indeed. Thanks for your comments as always.
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6115 votes)

Wednesday 4:52 AM
Thought about 69 but cannot justified giving up 2 to hold 6. Sometimes you have to play it safe. In this case, lead a 9.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (6801 votes)

Wednesday 4:55 AM
To me this is my choice. Defense and discard. If we were dealer there would be probably three options. I will look later on the lead card best option. dec
Eolus619

Joined: June 2020 (1706 votes)

Wednesday 6:06 AM
Good reasons already given above..AND..from yesterday..if you missed Ras’s late post tutorial on pegging suggest you read it..take a look at Hal too.
Eolus619 says: and Ras…sending positive healing vibes your way for your next week eye procedure 🀞
JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4460 votes)

Wednesday 6:54 AM
It's a New Game, and we are Pone.

It's tempting to Keep (2 2 4 9) and Toss (6 9), a relatively benign discard, but why send over points when we don't have to do so?

Let's Toss (2 6) instead, unsuited of course.

After the King Cut, let's lead a 9 Card from our PAIR.

Wordle 641 4/6 (I'll not easily recover from this)

πŸŸ¨β¬›β¬›πŸŸ¨πŸŸ¨
πŸŸ©πŸŸ¨β¬›πŸŸ¨β¬›
πŸŸ©β¬›πŸŸ¨β¬›πŸŸ©
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Eolus619 says: Tough wordle today imo
wasa

Joined: November 2014 (3346 votes)

Wednesday 7:13 AM
Unsuited 2-6 makes the most sense to me.
Ras2829

Joined: November 2008 (5496 votes)

Wednesday 10:18 AM
Choosing offense strategy to include the pegging, considered only discards of 2-6 (4.792) and 2-4 (5.207). Retaining 2-4-9-9 has the edge in all categories: (1) has greater potential hand score; (2) scores more potential pegs; and (3) provides the smaller crib. No 6-9 discard for me.
Ras2829 says: BTW 6-9 averages 6.204 on that side of the board and scores 8 or more points 25.48% of the time. Certainly 6-9 does not do so well on your side of the board. Frequent dealer discards include &-8, 6-7, 6-9, 10-J, and 6-8. All of those make the 6-9 a potent discard and if the starter card adds to that mix, watch for12-20 points. On your side of the board, you'll have to wait a long time for opponent to turn those cards loose. All 91 discards score more on the other side of the board and the differences are startling. For example when discarding to opponent, only two discards averages less than 4.0; when discarding to own side of the board 43 of 91 scores less than 4.0. Critical to success in this game is effective discarding and an understanding of this principle is paramount.
Ras2829 says: Sorry "&8" should read "7-8"!
Ras2829 says: Choosing offense, lead the 9 and take any pegs offered.
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1791 votes)

Wednesday 12:16 PM
Oops. I meant to toss 2-6 and keep 2-4-9-9. The toss of (6-9) over the board is not a fairly benign toss. I get burned on it quite often. Lead the 9d holding the 2d.
Coeurdelion

Joined: October 2007 (5766 votes)

Wednesday 2:27 PM
I don't see a good alternative to 2-4-9-9 so I'll throw the unsuited 2-6.
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5650 votes)

Wednesday 2:30 PM
At 0-0* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

____________________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___W9 %____W10 %
2H-4-9-9___7.43+1.09+(-4.47)=4.05____23.0____22.9
2-6-9-9____7.17+1.13+(-4.79)=3.51____22.7____22.0

Offense______L9 %____L10 %
2H-4-9-9______36.4____50.8
2-6-9-9_______37.6____51.9

2H-4-9-9 is better for expected averages by 0.54pt. and is slightly better for Win %s and lower for Loss %s. So I'll select 2D-6 to discard.

After the K cut I'll lead a 9 and play Offense:

Lead___________Our Pegging Pts.
9____________________1.21
2____________________0.74
4____________________0.62
scottcrib

Joined: August 2019 (2015 votes)

Wednesday 2:33 PM
Thank you for your comments today.
MiketheExpert

Joined: April 2021 (1318 votes)

Wednesday 4:21 PM
Yes indeed!