Saturday 3:19 AM

Kept the King to escape getting trapped in a run,

Fewer 10s left in circulation, so *should* be safer to play during the pegging,

Hopefully can respond to the lead with the 9, so that I am left with no consecutively ranked cards.

   

Saturday 4:13 AM

I can understand the pegging flexibility on keeping the flush. I would prefer to keep eight points here and more likely we would end up with two points in the crib figuring we might get two points in pegging. Yes, playing the nine after a lead might be enough to break up any threats by our opponent. dec

   

Saturday 4:31 AM

Only 11 pts out, I'm not worried about having to keep the double run. With 7 starting pts, a guaranteed pegging point, and a crib (even with a poor toss of 7 10), I really don't have to worry about not counting out. Thus, it is more important to keep the safety of our K, rather than risk getting trapped on the pegging with our run with pone pretty close at hole 110. I wouldn't pair a 15 or mid-card lead. Our 10 and K both offer relative safety as cards which pone is less likely to score on. Try to avoid any run possibilities - even giving up a pair on pegging sequence could spell the end.

   

Saturday 4:38 AM

Need dud cards here, try to minimize pone's pegging ability. Rely on the 7/8 in the crib to get me out.

   

Saturday 4:43 AM

Keeping the 8 sure points. No low cards to peg with. Play off to any lead.

   

Saturday 4:48 AM

I am going to start with eight. 7-K is a low value crib discard but it should get me at least two points. Add the one peg point for the dealer and I sum to eleven and out

   

Saturday 4:57 AM

The double run could be a pegging liability as Mike the Expert explained above.

   

Saturday 6:23 AM

Overall lousy pegging cards, this configuration about the best we can do, holding 7 points. Only need 3 between pegging and any cut help.

   

Saturday 6:47 AM

Like the flush for the pegging flexibility here

   

Saturday 8:05 AM

I've been on vacation with family for Thanksgiving for the past few days. I got the chance to run today's hand through both CribEDGE and my dad! Today, they agreed:

Keep: Eight of Hearts, Nine of Hearts, Ten of Clubs, Ten of Hearts
Toss: Seven of Clubs, King of Hearts
Worth: 8 / Bonus: 2

   

Saturday 8:06 AM

I need to survive to count my hand/crib and would rather take my chances with the more spread out flush than the double run.

   

Saturday 8:11 AM

Coming late to the party.... I chose the safety of the double run vs the flush (and a reluctance to break double runs). Mmmmm the commentary regarding the K of H I had not previously leaned in that direction.

Go USA, get a win on Tuesday

   

Saturday 8:27 AM

I like the flush. Go Canada tomorrow.

   

Saturday 11:01 AM

The flush seems to be a safer route to winning.

   

Saturday 2:51 PM

I think we must keep the most Defensive pegging hand which I think is 9-10-10-K. If opponent doesn't hold out then I don't think we'll have a problem scoring 11pts with 7-8 in the crib. However the flush will also peg well defensively and starts with 7pts. Even so I think I favor the 7-8 to our crib.

   

Saturday 3:01 PM

At 110*-110 playing an Optimal strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Net
Optimal____Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____Win %___Loss %
8-9-10-10___9.33+0.57+3.15=13.04____63.1____36.9
8-9-10-K____8.80+0.65+2.99=12.45____60.2____39.8
7-8-9-K_____6.72+0.70+4.59=12.00____58.9____41.1
7-8-9-10C___7.72+0.74+2.69=11.15____60.3____39.7
9-10-10-K___4.04+0.20+6.61=10.85____61.5____38.5
7-8-10-10___5.76+0.41+3.08= 9.25____47.4____39.7

8-9-10-10 is best for expected averages by 0.59pt. and is appreciably best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s over 9-10-10-K. So I'll select 7-K to discard.

After the K cut I'll play Defense to the lead.

Sunday 5:40 PM