November 26, 2022

*** This hand was suggested by James500
110*-110  ?
65%
16%
9%
3%
3%
2%
Total votes: 229
james500
3476 votes

Joined: June 2013

 
 
 
Saturday 3:19 AM
Kept the King to escape getting trapped in a run,

Fewer 10s left in circulation, so *should* be safer to play during the pegging,

Hopefully can respond to the lead with the 9, so that I am left with no consecutively ranked cards.
Eolus619 says: James500…your puzzle may very well teach me the value of the flush today. As to soccer….never would have thought England/USA would end 0-0. Now a chance both teams advance.
james500 says: Indeed. Two motivated opponents face us though. Wales would love to crush England's dreams, and I'm sure Iran would enjoy defeating, "The great Satan". https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Satan
dec
5890 votes

Joined: April 2008

 
 
 
Saturday 4:13 AM
I can understand the pegging flexibility on keeping the flush. I would prefer to keep eight points here and more likely we would end up with two points in the crib figuring we might get two points in pegging. Yes, playing the nine after a lead might be enough to break up any threats by our opponent. dec
MiketheExpert
670 votes

Joined: April 2021

 
 
 
Saturday 4:31 AM
Only 11 pts out, I'm not worried about having to keep the double run. With 7 starting pts, a guaranteed pegging point, and a crib (even with a poor toss of 7 10), I really don't have to worry about not counting out. Thus, it is more important to keep the safety of our K, rather than risk getting trapped on the pegging with our run with pone pretty close at hole 110. I wouldn't pair a 15 or mid-card lead. Our 10 and K both offer relative safety as cards which pone is less likely to score on. Try to avoid any run possibilities - even giving up a pair on pegging sequence could spell the end.
MiketheExpert says: This is one of those situations where the flush offers us a much safer distribution, with a GOOD ENOUGH starting flush - we should take advantage of it.
MiketheExpert says: If pone leads a 6 here, I would play the 10 next, and NOT the 9 to take 15-2, breaking the 8-9-10 run while leaving the separation of the K in hand. If she is leading the 6, very likely she is looking for a scoring response from us so she can take advantage -- she may need every single point she can get.
Ras2829 says: Hi MiketheExpert: Excellent post - great insight - explained in a way that others can grasp readily.
cribbagepogo
3158 votes

Joined: October 2007

 
 
 
Saturday 4:38 AM
Need dud cards here, try to minimize pone's pegging ability. Rely on the 7/8 in the crib to get me out.
MiketheExpert says: Sorry, not going so far as to only keep 2pts :)
Gougie00
5270 votes

Joined: March 2008

 
 
 
Saturday 4:43 AM
Keeping the 8 sure points. No low cards to peg with. Play off to any lead.
Eolus619
894 votes

Joined: June 2020

 
 
 
Saturday 4:48 AM
I am going to start with eight. 7-K is a low value crib discard but it should get me at least two points. Add the one peg point for the dealer and I sum to eleven and out
glmccuskey
3654 votes

Joined: April 2011

 
 
 
Saturday 4:57 AM
The double run could be a pegging liability as Mike the Expert explained above.
Jazzselke
2282 votes

Joined: March 2009

 
 
 
Saturday 6:23 AM
Overall lousy pegging cards, this configuration about the best we can do, holding 7 points. Only need 3 between pegging and any cut help.
mrob2199
1166 votes

Joined: February 2009

 
 
 
Saturday 6:47 AM
Like the flush for the pegging flexibility here
Obscure
47 votes

Joined: September 2022

 
 
 
Saturday 8:05 AM
I've been on vacation with family for Thanksgiving for the past few days. I got the chance to run today's hand through both CribEDGE and my dad! Today, they agreed:

Keep: Eight of Hearts, Nine of Hearts, Ten of Clubs, Ten of Hearts
Toss: Seven of Clubs, King of Hearts
Worth: 8 / Bonus: 2
fentesk
764 votes

Joined: January 2021

 
 
 
Saturday 8:06 AM
I need to survive to count my hand/crib and would rather take my chances with the more spread out flush than the double run.
sterno
189 votes

Joined: December 2020

 
 
 
Saturday 8:11 AM
Coming late to the party.... I chose the safety of the double run vs the flush (and a reluctance to break double runs). Mmmmm the commentary regarding the K of H I had not previously leaned in that direction.

Go USA, get a win on Tuesday
Inushtuk1
1036 votes

Joined: July 2016

 
 
 
Saturday 8:27 AM
I like the flush. Go Canada tomorrow.
Hillchem says: Ditto They looked excellent against Belgium. Hopefully they can muster the same intensity.
Inushtuk1 says: Yes sir.
winesteward48
432 votes

Joined: April 2021

 
 
 
Saturday 11:01 AM
The flush seems to be a safer route to winning.
Coeurdelion
5170 votes

Joined: October 2007

 
 
 
Saturday 2:51 PM
I think we must keep the most Defensive pegging hand which I think is 9-10-10-K. If opponent doesn't hold out then I don't think we'll have a problem scoring 11pts with 7-8 in the crib. However the flush will also peg well defensively and starts with 7pts. Even so I think I favor the 7-8 to our crib.
Eolus619 says: hmmmmm..Coe you can start with only two...not me though.all the best
HalscribCLX
4888 votes

Joined: February 2008

 
 
 
Saturday 3:01 PM
At 110*-110 playing an Optimal strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Net
Optimal____Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____Win %___Loss %
8-9-10-10___9.33+0.57+3.15=13.04____63.1____36.9
8-9-10-K____8.80+0.65+2.99=12.45____60.2____39.8
7-8-9-K_____6.72+0.70+4.59=12.00____58.9____41.1
7-8-9-10C___7.72+0.74+2.69=11.15____60.3____39.7
9-10-10-K___4.04+0.20+6.61=10.85____61.5____38.5
7-8-10-10___5.76+0.41+3.08= 9.25____47.4____39.7

8-9-10-10 is best for expected averages by 0.59pt. and is appreciably best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s over 9-10-10-K. So I'll select 7-K to discard.

After the K cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
MiketheExpert says: Sorry but I'm choosing Defense strategy all day here, and not optimal.....
SallyAnn3
559 votes

Joined: March 2020

Sunday 5:40 PM