December 1, 2019

*** This hand was suggested by horus93
45*-50  ?
Total votes: 164

Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for

1598 votes

Joined: March 2016

Sunday 3:15 AM
Start with 6 plus 2 points, more cuts for improvement at a higher maximum.
4886 votes

Joined: April 2008

Sunday 4:17 AM
How to try to attain that sixteen average of dealer here. Instead of the 5-5 possibility more cuts available spread out both hands and the pegging may net some more also. dec
434 votes

Joined: January 2019

Sunday 4:38 AM
I looked at this and looked again, then decided I wasn’t a good enough player to see anything better than the obvious 6 9 discard so that’s what I went with.
600 votes

Joined: August 2018

Sunday 4:48 AM
Couldn’t see breaking up the pair to put 5T in the crib.
1481 votes

Joined: March 2009

Sunday 5:02 AM
Agree with Zeke above.
2506 votes

Joined: June 2013

Sunday 6:17 AM
Chosen the "conventional" 6-9. 5-6 is tempting though.
Andy (muesli64)
1750 votes

Joined: August 2009

Sunday 6:37 AM
Save the little grey cells for tomorrow's problem!!
2843 votes

Joined: October 2008

Sunday 7:34 AM
Fives and Tens tend to generate similar amounts of help regardless of their location when we are the Dealer.

And yet while Toss (5 5) does too much damage to our Hand, I think that Toss (6 9) is not quite as strong overall as Toss (5 T) today.

So, let's try the suited Toss (5 T) on for size: it's the New Solution for a New Month.
725 votes

Joined: December 2017

Sunday 8:07 AM
I'd rather keep 5-6 in hand in this offensive position (+1/-10).
4284 votes

Joined: March 2008

Sunday 10:07 AM
6-9 and peg aggressively.
3741 votes

Joined: November 2008

Sunday 10:09 AM
If choosing an offense or optimal strategy, hold the "sweet 16" (1-6-9) and the two card "eleven from heaven" either of which have high percentage return in dealer hand. It's off. off. off. for me and play on the lead although would not pair a five if led. JQT provides fine insight as to how these cards will work often in actual pegging sequences. Because of the pegging values and the 5-10 discard to crib, combined values based on my scant empirical evidence is nearly .5 (pegs, hand and crib values).
375 votes

Joined: April 2019

Sunday 10:12 AM
I agree with JQT. Pegging prospects look good.
4204 votes

Joined: October 2007

Sunday 12:59 PM
I think it's between A-5-5-10 (6-9) and A-5-6-9 (5D-10):

A-5-5-10: 6pts + 5¼pts (Schell: 5.13) = 11¼pts

A-5-6-9: 4pts + 6½pts (Schell: 6.66) = 10½pts


A-5-5-10: Improves with AAA, 4444, 55, 999 + 15xXs = 27 cuts = 27/46 = 58.7% up to 10/12/14pts with 4444, 55, 999 + 15xXs = 24 cuts.

A-5-6-9: Improves with AAA, 3333, 4444, 55, 666, 7777, 8888, 999 + 15xXs = 42 cuts = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 7/8/9/10pts with AAA, 4444, 55, 666, 7777, 999 = 19 cuts.


We are 1pt past positional hole and Pone is 10pts short of where they would like to be so I'll play Defense to consolidate our positional advantage.


Playing Defense I think A-5-6-9 will peg better.


A-5-5-10 has a starting value ¾pt more but A-5-6-9 has more cuts for improvement although A-5-5-10 has a better maximum with 24 cuts for 10-14pts. A-5-6-9 should also peg better so I'll throw the suited 5-10.
1090 votes

Joined: May 2016

Sunday 1:01 PM
As much as I'd like to keep 5-5-6 together, With us in the CPZ, I think I'll go for keeping the most points between hand and crib.
3973 votes

Joined: February 2008

Sunday 1:04 PM
At 45*-50 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____W5 %____W6 %

Offense_______L5 %____L6 %

A-5-6-9 is better for expected averages by 0.57pt however A-5-5-10 is better for Win %s and Loss %s. Even so as it's early in the game I'll decide on expected averages and discard 5D-10.

After the 9 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.