June 10, 2019

*** This hand was suggested by Andy (muesli64)
52-45*  ?
92%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 178

Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

dec
4575 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Monday 3:15 AM
2-3 or 6-9 you have given up four points whch could end up being fifteen Sometimes you got got to give it up. This is not a game ending throw. Leading the nine here. dec
Rosemarie44
1317 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Monday 3:22 AM
No really safe toss, here. Just toss the 2-3 and hold 8 points to start. As dec says you would have to give up 4 points to toss 6-9. 2-3 is valued at 7.52 points, ouch. 6-9 is valued at 6.20 points.
joekayak
841 votes

Joined: May 2016

   
Monday 3:32 AM
Only non diamond 2-3-8 do not improve this hand. I'll try to get as close to 69 as I can. Cut gets me to 64. OFF OFF. Considered max defense by throwing 9-2 but that gives up too much (6 points too much). Besides, when it is this close a call, I'd rather go down aggressively than cower in a defensive posture.
zeke76
328 votes

Joined: August 2018

   
Monday 4:11 AM
What the others said. No obvious safe toss, so take the points.
Gougie00
3995 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Monday 4:52 AM
No need to get cute. I have 8 in the hand and I'll curl my nose and toss that 2-3 in the other guy's crib. Lead the 6? I could be persuaded to lead the 9 instead.
RubyTuesday
178 votes

Joined: January 2019

   
Monday 5:52 AM
I’d rather not give my opponent 2 & 3, but it seems the least bad of the options open to me.
glmccuskey
3051 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Monday 5:58 AM
That six cut gives me 12 points and hole 64 without pegging. I’ll lead the jack and peg it offensively.
james500
2229 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Monday 6:00 AM
Risky but with a good chance of 10+ points after the cut, and with a peg or two, I might finish somewhere in the mid to high sixties.
Pleased with the cut in that it helps me quite a bit, but doesn't seem to have any synergy with my discard.
horus93
501 votes

Joined: December 2017

   
Monday 9:07 AM
I really considered the flush seeing as it's early in the game despite the RP being basically defensive but decided it wasn't worth it. I also seriously considered 6-9 but came to the same conclusion. I'd want a solid shot at 15+ points to toss 2-3 or 6-9 here. Not surprised to be in the minority today though.
dgergens
379 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Monday 10:55 AM
I don't like giving up the 2,3. But the score makes that more palatable.
LoneStarPegger
684 votes

Joined: January 2008

   
Monday 11:24 AM
Tossed defensively, but will take any pegs offered. Leading the 3.
Ras2829
3463 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Monday 1:34 PM
It matters not whether you play offense defense, or something in between, the flush is the correct keep. Dealer has the deck right in the middle of 2nd street CPZ (43-47) With the help of the starter card n/d has 12 points, 2-3 pegs would put us at hole 66-67 for the upcoming deal, and 3rd street CPZ is 69-73. Want to get as close to that as possible. Sure, I never feel comfortable tossing 2-3 to opponent crib. So be it: I'm playing my position alone here with dealer already in good shape for this deal. More later!
HalscribCLX
3697 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Monday 2:41 PM
At 52-45* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the Win/Loss %s are:

________________Our
Offense___Hand__Pegs__Crib___Total___W5 %____W6 %
5-6-9-J___11.09+1.65+(-7.28)=5.46____34.5____46.1
2-3-5-J____7.50+1.63+(-5.98)=3.15____21.8____37.6

Offense______L5 %____L6 %
5-6-9-J______23.9____37.1
2-3-5-J______21.2____41.5

5-6-9-J is better for expected averages by 2.31pts and is very much better for Win %s and slightly lower for Loss %s. So I'll select 2-3 to discard.

After the 6 cut I'll lead the 9 and play Offense:

Lead________Our Pegging Pts.
9________________1.91
J________________1.66
5________________1.31
6________________1.17