May 15, 2019
26% | |||||
23% | |||||
21% | |||||
13% | |||||
11% | |||||
2% | |||||
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Total votes: 169 |
Rosemarie44 2052 votes Joined: March 2016 |
    Wednesday 3:37 AM
I can't see holding 6 points and tossing 2 points to opponent. Hand has a two card eleven and will peg best. Ras2829 says: Hi Rosemarie44: First puzzle I've noted from ccjohnson. Perhaps ccjohnson is looking in. Might be that we know by another name. In any case, this is a fine puzzle and keep 'em coming! |
dec 6358 votes Joined: April 2008 |
    Wednesday 3:57 AM
Slow down opponent. Lots of green grass ahead still. Lead a two, dump the five. Eight cuts would give us a dozen ( 6/9) quite a risk here to give up two to their crib. dec |
zeke76 1396 votes Joined: August 2018 |
    Wednesday 4:24 AM
I assume it doesn’t matter which 2 is tossed with the 9. joekayak says: Keep the 2C as you did to fake the flush. Either of the other two 2s don't matter. Rosemarie44 says: Fake a flush - all black. zeke76 says: Makes sense on faking a flush. Is that like jiggling the handle? Rosemarie44 says: Cute! |
mrob2199 1435 votes Joined: February 2009 |
    Wednesday 4:28 AM
No reason to get crazy here-keep the 4 points and try to kill dealers crib-the 2256 has a good chance of pegging 2-3 points without too much risk-lead the 2 of clubs for the fake flush play if dealer doesn’t match the 2-which is obviously very likely since there is only one remaining-if dealer plays a picture play the 6 here-you could get the go and the ensuing 15 |
horus93 1281 votes Joined: December 2017 |
    Wednesday 5:16 AM
I didn't want to be too defensive at this relative position (-9/+12). Sure 2-9 is safe but 2-2-5-6 is a pretty mediocre hand and of 2-point tosses to the opponent 6-9 must be one of the safer ones. |
Gougie00 5729 votes Joined: March 2008 |
    Wednesday 5:33 AM
Another hedge. Lousy starter. Lead the 2 and take the points if they present themselves. Ditch the 5 when possible. |
joekayak 1873 votes Joined: May 2016 |
    Wednesday 5:41 AM
Not much to like here. Best of a bad lot, Cannot in all good cribbage conscience keep 6 or 8 points in any way. Not with dealer where they are. Keep 4 points, 2-9 off suit to dealer crib. Hope for opponent to slow down and that there are a lot more hands to play. Lead the 2C. joekayak says: Weather report. Right now, mostly cloudy, high chance of showers, possible hail. But next hand, sun may come out. |
james500 3923 votes Joined: June 2013 |
    Wednesday 5:46 AM
Could start with eight points, but it means discarding 5-6. Could start with six if I'm prepared to discard 6-9 or 5-9. Suspect I've been too cautious by choosing 2-9, and only starting with four points. |
JRCeagle78 1054 votes Joined: June 2016 |
    Wednesday 6:32 AM
I kept the 3 clubs and the pseudo-flush to keep the dealer on his toes. 9-2 had the best chance of blanking his crib. The 3 cut lets me know that he has at least 2 points, but I am expecting that he has 4 and I will play my hand accordingly. If I don't pick up some points on the ensuing deal, this player could be in deep doo-doo. |
cribbagepogo 3251 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Wednesday 9:33 AM
Guess it is really 60% against me and all others. Which 2 combo you hold is academic. Went for the big shot, not a good thing. |
RubyTuesday 913 votes Joined: January 2019 |
Wednesday 9:41 AM
I tried to post the same hand as cribbagepogo but I’m not being allowed to vote. Guest says: For site issues, please email: dailycribbagehand@gmail.com. Rosemarie44 Guest says: Thank you. |
LoneStarPegger 811 votes Joined: January 2008 |
    Wednesday 11:10 AM
I get caught up in trying to maximize points. Thanks for reminding me to think longer term. Adding up variations of 2256 is 55% as of my post... Learning has occurred. |
mfetchCT425 1399 votes Joined: February 2009 |
    Wednesday 3:09 PM
Agree with rob and others above with this hold. Suited 5-6 to opponent’s crib could lose this game for us on this deal. Let’s live another day. Like the 2-9 relatively strong defensive toss especially with us holding two other 2s. Would lead from strength here, 2c, in case we want to invoke a flush fake. |
Coeurdelion 5594 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Wednesday 4:45 PM
I think its between 2-2-2-9 (5-6) and 2-2-5-6 (2-9):
2-2-2-9: 8pts - 7½pts (Schell: 7.47) = +½pt 2-2-5-6: 4pts - 4¾pts (Schell: 4.70) = -½pt Potential: 2-2-2-9: Improves with 2, 4444, 666, 999 = 11 cuts = 11/46 = 23.9% up to 12/20pts with 2, 4444, 999 = 8 cuts. 2-2-5-6: Improves with 2, 4444, 555, 666, 7777, 8888, 999 + 16xXs = 38 cuts = 38/46 = 82.6% up to 8/9/11/12pts with 2, 4444, 555, 666, 7777, 8888 = 19 cuts. Position: Dealer is 12pts ahead of 2nd street positional hole and we're 9pts behind wwhere we like to be so I think we're too far behind to play Offense (especially as only 1 cut scores 20pts) so I'll play Defense to slow dealer down. Pegging: I think 2-2-5-6 is better for the pegging. Summary: 2-2-5-6 has a starting value 1pt less but has many more cuts for improvement and I think will peg better. It also has 19 cuts for 8-12pts. So I'll throw a 2-9. |
HalscribCLX 5317 votes Joined: February 2008 |
    Wednesday 4:47 PM
At 51-56* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
_______________Our Offense___Hand_Pegs__Crib___Total___W4 %___W5 % 2-2-5-6___6.91+1.61+(-4.30)=4.22____2.1____15.8 2-2-2-5___8.17+1.50+(-5.95)=3.72____2.3____16.2 2-2-2-6___7.61+1.17+(-6.39)=2.39____1.8____14.2 2-2-2-9___9.17+0.78+(-7.63)=2.32____2.5____16.1 Offense______L4 %___L5 % 2-2-5-6_______6.7___43.2 2-2-2-5______10.4___48.2 2-2-2-6_______8.7___49.1 2-2-2-9______11.2___51.3 2-2-5-6 is best for expected averages by 0.50pt and although its slightly lower for Win %s its very much best for Loss %s. So I'll select a 2-9 to discard. After the 3 cut I'll lead a 2 and play Offense: Lead__________Our Pegging Pts. 2__________________1.90 6__________________1.34 5__________________1.06 |
Ras2829 5153 votes Joined: November 2008 |
    Wednesday 10:35 PM
With dealer already at hole 56, RAS is in the middle of nowhere. It's off., off., BOLD for me. Lead the 2C and take any pegs offered. After seeing the lousy trey cut, it' so be an offense choice for several hands. Notice how far down the list 2-2-2-9 is? Using my scant empirical data to calculate combined values, holding 2-2-5-6 is very near 1/2 point better. The 5-y6 discard to opponent crib is more than I am willing to chance. Note HalscribCLX shows the potential value of 5-6 to opponent crib is 7.63 which drops that choice of 2-2-2-9 to 4th spot, though the #1 voter choice this date. In our club, would retain 2-2-2-9 as club pays $50 for crib's rarest 20-point hand (22229). No where else would that be the case. joekayak says: Actually 55% chose 6-5-2-2. There were three diff variations of it. But some variation of 6-5-2-2 was the majority choice. |