December 3, 2018

*** This hand was suggested by Gougie00
69-55*  ?
83%
6%
3%
3%
1%
0%
Total votes: 161

Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

Rosemarie44
1219 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Monday 3:04 AM
Going with expected averages by choosing to toss 2-7 to dealer.
The values of 2-7 or 2-6 are only .01 points difference.
Same as yesterday, chose to keep the 6 card in the hand because of its proximity to the fives in the hand.
JQT
2486 votes

Joined: October 2008

   
Monday 3:12 AM
Let's hold onto that nice, tasty, chewy center. Lead the 5s.
dec
4475 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Monday 3:35 AM
4-5-7 cuts big big hand here. dec
james500
2136 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Monday 4:05 AM
With three fives and a seven known to be out of circulation, 6Sp should be much more isolated in the crib than 7h, which has all four eights and three sixes available to find.

Lead the 5 of clubs.
zeke76
244 votes

Joined: August 2018

   
Monday 5:22 AM
Triple nickel.
glmccuskey
2978 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Monday 5:30 AM
With 14 points Iíll be dealing well up 3rd street. Lead the five of spades.
Jazzselke
1224 votes

Joined: March 2009

   
Monday 5:44 AM
With dealer at 55 not going to worry about throwing 27.
Andy (muesli64)
1519 votes

Joined: August 2009

   
Monday 6:12 AM
2-7. Not too taxing for a Monday morning.
Ras2829
3373 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Monday 7:29 AM
Important to retain 5-5-5 for 8 points here rather than double run. With about 25% who play this game, they have not yet figured that 5-5-5 is worth 8 points. That might be the purpose of this puzzle submission. If crib was on my side of the board, would have ditched suited 2-5. Lead the 5s, if dealer plays on my lead will take what pegs I can garner as have no escape. Likely drop another five on my second play. With dealer short of 3rd street CPZ 69-73, have chosen an optimal pegging strategy.
dgergens
337 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Monday 9:06 AM
I was about to keep the double run and chance the 5 donation to the crib, but then it dawned on me that three 5's was 8 pts. Held on to the 7 just to keep the dealer down. Was expecting a 10 cut over a 4 or 7 anyway.
cribbagepogo
2818 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 10:57 AM
Not sure why any other save. Cards next to each other. Hoping for a 6 cut hurts me by helping the crib even if it gives me 17.
joekayak
736 votes

Joined: May 2016

Monday 1:39 PM
Another hand to break up the double run!!
HalscribCLX
3607 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Monday 1:52 PM
At 69-55* playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_________________Dlr's
Defense___Hand___Pegs____Crib___Total___W3 %___W4 %
5-5-5-6___12.54+(-4.37)+(-4.36)=3.81____8.9____59.5
5-5-5-7___11.76+(-3.93)+(-4.29)=3.54____5.4____57.3

Defense______L3 %___L4 %
5-5-5-6______0.4____5.3
5-5-5-7______0.3____5.0

5-5-5-6 is better for expected averages by 0.27pt and is appreciably better for Win %s although very slightly higher for Loss %s. So I'll select 2-7 to discard.

After the K cut I'll lead a 5 and play Optimally (cautious offense):

Lead________Net Pegging Pts.
5_______________(-2.79)
6_______________(-3.89)
Coeurdelion
3844 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 1:59 PM
Has to be the safest discard with the most potential.