March 13, 2018
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Total votes: 146 |
Rosemarie44 2052 votes Joined: March 2016 |
    Tuesday 3:28 AM
Holding small cards and at least 4 points. wasa says: As dealer I'm guaranteed a pegging point so I only need to hold 3 points. Trying to figure whether to hold the 6 or the 7 with A-2-3. |
JQT 4143 votes Joined: October 2008 |
    Tuesday 3:34 AM
If we try to peg out *first* then Keep (A 2 3 ?) does seem appropriate.
But I'm not convinced that *offensive* pegging is our best course of action here. It may be, but perhaps only *if* we Cut that elusive Jack! Otherwise, something such as Toss (2 3) seems correct at leaving us with a fairly *defensive* pegging hand today, although I do worry a bit about the Lone Ace. But since I see nothing better, I'll Keep (A 6 7 T) and try to unload the Ace early and safely. Pegging-wise, I suppose that Toss (3 6) or Toss (3 7) might be even safer, but perish the thought we should come up 'short' here!! JQT says: Oops, I read Pone's score as 106, not 116. I'm not sure if this is due to my newly-acquired sixty-year-old mind, or eyes! Surely we must try to peg out, thus Keep (A 2 3 ?) or Keep (2 3 6 7) is the way to go; ignore all but my first paragraph above. I'll re-do and try Toss (6 T) here, if you'll pardon my poor earlier interpretation. JQT says: Oops, I read Pone's score as 106, not 116. I'm not sure if this is due to my newly-acquired sixty-year-old mind, or eyes! Surely we must try to peg out, thus Keep (A 2 3 ?) or Keep (2 3 6 7) is the way to go; ignore all but my first paragraph above. I'll re-do and try Toss (6 T) here, if you'll pardon my poor earlier interpretation. Rosemarie44 says: Those keeps were my two original choices. A-2-3 or 2-3-6-7. Rosemarie44 says: Those keeps were my two original choices. A-2-3 or 2-3-6-7. |
dec 6359 votes Joined: April 2008 |
    Tuesday 3:53 AM
An anything goes pegging scenario. I kept hopefully a variety to pair or a chance to peg four with one card. dec |
james500 3924 votes Joined: June 2013 |
    Tuesday 5:40 AM
One big card to push the count up, and the small run. |
Gougie00 5731 votes Joined: March 2008 |
    Tuesday 5:44 AM
Selling out with all the small cards.
Nice puzzle. My guess is that it all comes down to luck at this stage. If I am the pone, I keep 4 points only and avoid pegging. The snowstorm drifted east a bit and Boston is getting hammered with snow. Only 2 inches here so far. Rosemarie44 says: Storm is likely to hit around 9 AM here. |
Inushtuk1 1488 votes Joined: July 2016 |
    Tuesday 7:35 AM
I’m like wasa. Trying to figure out whether to hold the 6, or the 7 with A-2-3. Well the 7 is a key connector. But I’m not sure how logical that is, and shouldn’t expect any conventional logic from my opponent at this point. Let’s try the 7, and hope for the J cut, so we need not worry about trips after I pair anything in sight. |
horus93 1282 votes Joined: December 2017 |
    Tuesday 8:07 AM
In the minority again today! I went for a diversity of cards and a magic 11. I'd rather play off than on but I wonder what the averages really say. horus93 says: And my keep was A-3-7-T |
jethrotulll 298 votes Joined: May 2016 |
    Tuesday 8:54 AM
Not sure why people are talking about scoring here. You will have to peg out. You will not be counting your hand. |
Ras2829 5155 votes Joined: November 2008 |
    Tuesday 9:54 AM
What are chances to limit non-dealer to four points on this deal? That's 1/15. Of course you all know when cutting that five spot in end-game situations, non-dealer often goes out from much further out What are chances that dealer can peg out? That's about 4/10. Dealer pegs average 3.5-3.6. A player with strong pegging game averages about 3.8 when dealing. Based on those numbers have got to go for it. Thus will hold 2-3-6-7 as have chance to play off small cards or the mid-cards needing four. If had only needed two pegs would have held A-2-3-6. Very good end-game scenario andy (muesli64)!! Ras2829 says: BTW, I will take the first two pegs offered. Needing four to win, it seldom works to pass up the first two. Needing three I would play defense to the lead as HaslcribCLX has chosen. |
Coeurdelion 5595 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Tuesday 3:06 PM
I often prefer to have 3 low cards and a high card for pegging but in this instance we can keep a 3-card magic eleven. That means A-2-3-7 or A-2-3-6. I prefer A-2-3-7 just because the 7 is a little higher. I'll throw the 6-10. |
cribbagepogo 3251 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Tuesday 3:27 PM
Agree with Ras. I need to peg out, a run of low card finish might work. |
HalscribCLX 5318 votes Joined: February 2008 |
    Tuesday 3:50 PM
Playing an Optimal strategy for the pegging Our Peg Out %s are:
Optimal_____Our Peg Out %s A-2-3-7________52.4 A-2-3-6________50.7 A-2-3-10_______46.9 A-3-6-7________46.3 3-6-7-10_______45.7 2-3-6-7________44.7 A-3-6-10_______42.9 A-2-7-10_______42.9 A-2-6-7________42.8 A-2-6-10_______42.3 A-3-7-10_______38.8 A-6-7-10_______37.6 2-6-7-10_______37.0 2-3-6-10_______37.0 2-3-7-10_______35.7 A-2-3-7 has the best chance of pegging out so I'll select 6-10 to discard. After the 5 cut I'll play Defense to the lead. |