April 25, 2019
72% | |||||
10% | |||||
9% | |||||
3% | |||||
2% | |||||
1% | |||||
0% | |||||
Total votes: 159 |
dec 6352 votes Joined: April 2008 |
    Thursday 3:48 AM
Dealer came up short on last hand but so did we. Go for the dozen cut and toss a five in the crib. Hopefully play on. dec |
Rosemarie44 2052 votes Joined: March 2016 |
    Thursday 4:02 AM
Agree with dec today. A five in the crib and 5 point hand to start. Starter helps our crib. Guest says: In the old days, salt was money |
mrob2199 1429 votes Joined: February 2009 |
Thursday 5:10 AM
Seems like a pretty straightforward hand to me-keep the 5 points and throw 3-5 |
james500 3917 votes Joined: June 2013 |
    Thursday 5:11 AM
I've chosen 3-5, but of more interest is who gets chosen tonight. Does anyone on here have any preference for who their team drafts? zeke76 says: Same toss for me.
As a Lions fan I try not to worry too much. I’ll have enough misery once we start losing actual games in the fall. 1 playoff win since 1957 baby! Gougie00 says: My Patriots usually trade their #1 to someone else. It is interesting to watch teams overspend for some iffy QB. A bust in the first round can haunt your team for years. Cite the Lions ... zeke76 says: My understanding is Detroit wants to trade down, but there are fewer teams willing to trade up anymore. Post-Millen the Lions drafts have been ok. Not great, not bad. cribbagepogo says: Duane Toll would work anywhere. |
Gougie00 5724 votes Joined: March 2008 |
    Thursday 5:23 AM
Speculation. I'll toss myself 3-5 and see in the pone throws me something useful. |
Jazzselke 2583 votes Joined: March 2009 |
    Thursday 6:31 AM
5 in hand and sure 2 in crib. This should be 100%, don't see an argument for any other throw. |
joekayak 1873 votes Joined: May 2016 |
    Thursday 8:53 AM
Seems like an obvious throw. Not so obvious before the series but obvious afterwards. Carolina Hurricanes in 7 (with double OT win in game 7!!) over the Washington Bullies. Go Canes! Guest says: I hope they advance so we can play the Hartford Whalers... whoops... brain lapse there. Go Bruins top seed now. dec |
Ras2829 5147 votes Joined: November 2008 |
    Thursday 10:29 AM
Ought to be 100% though there are many who play this wonderful game who have no idea just how strong the 3-5 discard is. Many of those same players love the 7-7 to own crib. In actuality the 3-5 average is 5.971 (455) 12/91 and 7-7 average is 5.873 (1,372) 13/91. Here's what gives that 3-5 the edge. The 3-5 scores two points 8.571% and that hypothetical 7-7 scores two points 22.011%. The hypothetical pair can never score a crib flush. Here you can add about .04 to the suited 3-5 discard as there is potential for crib flush. Like all discards, the 3-5 is worth more when tossed on the other side of the board. Will take pegs as offered as need off., off., off. Not much pegging potential here unless n/d holding middle cards. Looks like will be playing an offense strategy for several hands. That's often how it goes for the person not winning the cut for the opening crib. Think with 7 points we can assume that this is the second deal of this game. |
Coeurdelion 5589 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Thursday 1:48 PM
I don't think there's much competition to 6-8-9-10 (3-5). Closest will be 5-8-9-10 (3-6) and 3-8-9-10 (5-6):
6-8-9-10: 5pts + 6¾pts (Schell: 6.78) = 11¾pts 5-8-9-10: 5pts + 5pts (Schell: 4.87) = 10pts 3-8-9-10: 3pts + 7½pts (Schell: 7.47) = 10½pts Potential: 6-8-9-10: Improves with AAAA, 555, 666, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 27 cuts = 27/46 = 58.7% up to 9/10/12pts with 666, 7777, 888, 999, 101010 = 16 cuts. 5-8-9-10: Improves with AAAA, 2222, 555, 666, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 31 cuts = 31/46 = 67.4% up to 8/9/10/12pts with 555, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 20 cuts. 3-8-9-10: Improves with 2222, 333, 4444, 555, 666, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 34 cuts = 34/46 = 73.9% up to 6/7/8pts with 333, 7777, 888, 999, 101010 = 16 cuts. Position: It looks as if we were First Pone and only scored 7pts so I'll still play Offense. Pegging: I think these will all peg similarly. Summary: 6-8-9-10 is at least 1¼pts better and although it doesn't have the most cuts for improvement it has 16 cuts for 9-12pts. So I'll throw the 3-5. |
HalscribCLX 5312 votes Joined: February 2008 |
    Thursday 1:53 PM
At 7*-12 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
_______________Our Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____W8 %____W9 % 6-8-9-10__7.11+2.96+6.13=16.20____17.5____22.9 5-8-9-10__7.72+3.41+3.60=14.73____14.4____19.5 3-8-9-10__5.20+2.85+6.61=14.66____14.7____20.0 Offense_______L8 %____L9 % 6-8-9-10______29.8____49.0 5-8-9-10______30.6____51.6 3-8-9-10______30.2____51.9 6-8-9-10 is best by 1.47pts and it is also best for Win %s and Loss %s which take account of the board position. After the K cut I'll play Offense to the lead. |
Samgash 401 votes Joined: November 2016 |
    Thursday 2:58 PM
Slam Dunk decision. No sweating over this toss. |
RubyTuesday 909 votes Joined: January 2019 |
    Friday 12:15 AM
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RubyTuesday 909 votes Joined: January 2019 |
    Friday 12:16 AM
I’m pleased to agree with you all! |