Monday 6:15 AM

Is my computer broken or is mine the first comment of the day at 8:15 EST? I am going for the big hit here. I think it is my only chance to win.

   

Monday 7:00 AM

The site was down earlier today.

This puzzle might be a trick. I thought about tossing 7-8 before settling for a sure 6. The 5 cut might be good for putting me back into the game.

   

Monday 7:13 AM

7-8 discard to own crib. Need a bunch of points.

   

Monday 7:23 AM

Good puzzle. Do we stray from the small hand rule here? If back further, I would, but from here I am only quasi-desperate hoping for a 5 or 8 cut.

   

Monday 7:27 AM

12 in my hand, let's say 2 in the crib and 2 pegs for 16 puts me at 104 this deal, add another 10 after next deal and I'm at 114.
Meanwhile opponent on average makes it to 103 after this deal. Add 16 on to that after next deal and he's at 119.
Would like to be at 117 or better, if and when the pegging war begins so will lead a 4 and play on this deal.

   

Monday 7:43 AM

Rather toss 3-K to crib.

   

Monday 9:19 AM

I still have chance for 12 or 14 plus feel better about something in the crib with 3-K. I need to get a bit down 4th steet to have a chance here. Still have slight chance if non-dealer has crap.

   

Monday 11:32 AM

...toss the 7-8

Monday 12:36 PM

Keeping the double run option open on both ends for six points is superior to any other choice. The small hand rule applies to more than 98% of all hands of less than 8 points. There are also very few discards in cribbage worth a sacrifice of hand points and they look like 5-5, 2-3, 5-J, 5-6, 5-K, 5-10, 5-Q, and 4-5. Do you know about sacrifice limits when dealing and how much to sacrifice? Do you know about the small hand rule? If not or whish to expand your understanding E-mail ras@localaccess.com.

   

Monday 12:59 PM

I can hold 6pts with 4-4-7-8 and 3-4-4-8. I think there must be more potential with the part double-run so I've gone with 7-K as well.

   

Monday 1:09 PM

I concocted this puzzle way back in October 2011, with more questions than answers.

We see a majority of Puzzles from the Pone's perspective here, so once in a while, I try to "balance" out the scale a bit.

And in the end, when we are Dealer in Cribbage, Discarding is all about "balance." This hand is a Big Tease, but we should not let it misguide us.

Let's see if Halscrib can confirm or deny what I hope we should already know today. And not to worry: If you didn't like Today's Puzzle, I've already cooked something up that is perhaps more to your liking for tomorrow!

   

Monday 1:16 PM

Playing an Offense strategy the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %'s are:

Offense----Hand-Pegs-Crib-Total----W2 %----W3 %
3-4-4-8____8.43+3.11+3.07=14.61___7.3____11.7
3-4-4-K____4.65+3.17+6.71=14.53___8.9____10.7
4-4-7-8____7.78+3.08+3.62=14.42___6.6____11.3

Offense--------L2 %----L3 %
3-4-4-8______35.3____77.6
3-4-4-K______37.4____78.2
4-4-7-8______34.8____78.0

7-K and 7-8 are very close for both expected averages and Win %'s but I've selected 7-K for the better Loss %'s over 7-8.

After the 5 cut I'll play Offense to the lead.

   

Monday 3:05 PM

My idea is to to try to get as close I can get to 110. Sorry P i can almost hear 9 in that crib now 6-K. dec